Model Predictions
| Model | Ball State Cardinals | San Diego State Aztecs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 2.6% | 97.4% | +28.8 | ✓ (15.8 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 6.3% | 93.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 3.8% | 96.2% | +17.8 | ✓ (4.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 23.4% | 76.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 17.5% | 82.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Diego State Aztecs +13 (70-57). Ratings: 2014-15 season-end ratings.
Ball State Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zavier Turner * | 36 | 1-7 | 1-5 | 5-6 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 1 | - |
| Jeremie Tyler * | 34 | 6-10 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 14 | - |
| Franko House * | 30 | 5-10 | 0-1 | 1-3 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 11 | - |
| Matt Kamieniecki * | 29 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 15 | 12 | - |
| Sean Sellers * | 27 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Rocco Belcaster | 21 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Bo Calhoun | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Francis Kiapway | 10 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Skylar Spencer * | 30 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 16 | - |
| Winston Shepard * | 28 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 12 | - |
| J.J. O'Brien * | 28 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 14 | - |
| Trey Kell * | 24 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Aqeel Quinn * | 18 | 3-8 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Matt Shrigley | 18 | 1-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -1 | - |
| D'Erryl Williams | 14 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 4 | - |
| D. Polee II | 12 | 0-5 | 0-2 | 2-6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -3 | - |
| Dakarai Allen | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Malik Pope | 7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Kevin Zabo | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Angelo Chol | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
* = starter