Model Predictions
| Model | Ball State Cardinals | San Diego State Aztecs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 1.7% | 98.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 28.8% | 71.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 3.2% | 96.8% | +18.7 | ✓ (5.7 off) |
Actual: San Diego State Aztecs +13 (70-57). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Ball State Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Z. Turner * | 36 | 1-7 | 1-5 | 5-6 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 1 | - |
| J. Tyler * | 34 | 6-10 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 14 | - |
| F. House * | 30 | 5-10 | 0-1 | 1-3 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 11 | - |
| M. Kamieniecki * | 29 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 15 | 12 | - |
| S. Sellers * | 27 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | - |
| R. Belcaster | 21 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | - |
| B. Calhoun | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| F. Kiapway | 10 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Spencer * | 30 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 16 | - |
| W. Shepard * | 28 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 12 | - |
| J.J. O'Brien * | 28 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 14 | - |
| T. Kell * | 24 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3 | - |
| A. Quinn * | 18 | 3-8 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 9 | - |
| M. Shrigley | 18 | 1-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -1 | - |
| D. Williams | 14 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 4 | - |
| D. Polee II | 12 | 0-5 | 0-2 | 2-6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -3 | - |
| D. Allen | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| M. Pope | 7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| K. Zabo | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| A. Chol | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
* = starter