Model Predictions
| Model | UNLV Rebels | San Diego State Aztecs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 7.2% | 92.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 37.6% | 62.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 15.3% | 84.7% | +9.4 | ✓ (6.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.0% | 53.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 89.8% | 10.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 89.9% | 10.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: San Diego State Aztecs +3 (67-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UNLV Rebels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Doolin | 36 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 6-7 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 13 | - |
| B. Cheaney | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Kendrick * | 36 | 6-11 | 1-1 | 0-2 | 13 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 21 | - |
| C. Wood * | 36 | 10-20 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 8 | - |
| G. Okonoboh * | 29 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 5 | - |
| P. McCaw * | 26 | 1-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -3 | - |
| J. Cornish | 23 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 4 | - |
| D. Morgan | 14 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J.J. O'Brien * | 37 | 4-9 | 1-3 | 6-6 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 13 | - |
| A. Quinn * | 29 | 8-10 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 19 | - |
| S. Spencer * | 26 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| W. Shepard * | 21 | 2-9 | 1-2 | 7-12 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 12 | - |
| M. Shrigley * | 20 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| D. Polee II | 19 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| T. Kell | 18 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | - |
| A. Chol | 16 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | - |
| M. Pope | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| D. Allen | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter