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Colorado State Rams 43
@
San Diego State Aztecs 56
2015-03-13

Model Predictions

Model Colorado State Rams San Diego State Aztecs Spread Result
Elo 29.1% 70.9% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 43.5% 56.5% - ✓
Margin 25.9% 74.1% +5.8 ✓ (7.2 off)
Pythagorean 45.7% 54.3% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 21.5% 78.5% - ✓
Log Adjusted 21.4% 78.6% - ✓
Points Off/Def 37.6% 62.4% - ✓

Actual: San Diego State Aztecs +13 (56-43). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Colorado State Rams

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Stanton Kidd * 35 4-11 2-3 0-0 8 0 1 5 1 10 12 -
T. Daniels * 34 4-5 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 1 3 8 7 -
Daniel Bejarano * 33 4-13 1-6 0-1 9 2 0 0 2 9 5 -
Joe De Ciman * 31 2-8 1-3 0-0 3 1 0 1 1 5 1 -
Gian Clavell * 29 2-11 1-6 1-2 2 1 0 1 0 6 -1 -
John Gillon 27 1-5 1-2 2-2 3 3 0 0 0 5 6 -
Fred Richardson 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 0 1 -

San Diego State Aztecs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J.J. O'Brien * 37 4-13 0-1 0-0 3 4 1 0 0 8 3 -
S. Spencer * 35 1-1 0-0 0-1 6 0 2 3 0 2 12 -
A. Quinn * 30 5-10 3-6 3-4 2 0 0 1 0 16 9 -
W. Shepard * 29 8-12 0-0 0-2 5 2 0 0 2 16 9 -
M. Shrigley * 20 1-5 0-3 0-0 4 1 1 0 0 2 3 -
D. Polee II 19 4-7 2-2 2-2 6 0 0 0 3 12 8 -
T. Kell 10 0-3 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 0 0 -
M. Pope 10 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
A. Chol 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
D. Allen 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

* = starter