Model Predictions
| Model | Colorado State Rams | San Diego State Aztecs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 11.6% | 88.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 42.0% | 58.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 19.3% | 80.7% | +7.9 | ✓ (5.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 61.9% | 38.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 44.6% | 55.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 44.4% | 55.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Diego State Aztecs +13 (56-43). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Colorado State Rams
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Kidd * | 35 | 4-11 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 10 | 12 | - |
| T. Daniels * | 34 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 7 | - |
| D. Bejarano * | 33 | 4-13 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 5 | - |
| J. De Ciman * | 31 | 2-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 1 | - |
| G. Clavell * | 29 | 2-11 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | -1 | - |
| J. Gillon | 27 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| F. Richardson III | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J.J. O'Brien * | 37 | 4-13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 3 | - |
| S. Spencer * | 35 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 12 | - |
| A. Quinn * | 30 | 5-10 | 3-6 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 9 | - |
| W. Shepard * | 29 | 8-12 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 9 | - |
| M. Shrigley * | 20 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| D. Polee II | 19 | 4-7 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 8 | - |
| T. Kell | 10 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| M. Pope | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| A. Chol | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| D. Allen | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter