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2015-02-28

Model Predictions

Model Boise State Broncos San Diego State Aztecs Spread Result
Elo 14.1% 85.9% -
Bradley-Terry 49.3% 50.7% -
Margin 24.4% 75.6% +6.2 (16.2 off)
Pythagorean 51.2% 48.8% -
Efficiency 45.7% 54.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 43.0% 57.0% -
Log Adjusted 42.6% 57.4% -

Actual: San Diego State Aztecs -10 (46-56). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Boise State Broncos

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Webb III * 39 6-10 1-3 3-4 12 0 0 1 1 16 18 -
N. Duncan * 36 0-3 0-2 0-0 5 1 1 1 1 0 4 -
D. Marks * 34 6-22 1-3 5-7 5 1 2 1 4 18 1 -
I. Hadziomerovic * 20 0-1 0-1 1-2 3 2 0 0 2 1 3 -
C. Hutchison * 9 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
R. Heyer 29 2-4 1-2 1-1 7 1 1 0 0 6 11 -
M. Thompson 15 0-5 0-2 6-6 2 2 0 0 1 6 4 -
M. Alford 12 2-4 1-1 0-0 0 0 1 0 1 5 1 -
K. Allen 3 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
D. Wacker 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

San Diego State Aztecs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
W. Shepard * 37 7-17 1-2 1-2 2 2 0 0 1 16 2 -
J.J. O'Brien * 36 4-8 0-0 0-1 3 1 0 0 1 8 3 -
M. Shrigley * 27 1-4 1-4 0-0 1 1 1 1 1 3 2 -
A. Quinn * 26 2-9 1-4 2-2 5 0 2 0 0 7 5 -
S. Spencer * 22 1-3 0-0 0-0 5 0 2 2 1 2 7 -
T. Kell 23 1-10 0-4 1-2 3 1 0 0 1 3 -4 -
M. Pope 16 1-2 0-0 3-4 2 0 1 3 1 5 8 -
A. Chol 12 1-2 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 1 2 4 -
D. Allen 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter