Model Predictions
| Model | Boise State Broncos | San Diego State Aztecs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 14.1% | 85.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 49.3% | 50.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 24.4% | 75.6% | +6.2 | ✗ (16.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.2% | 48.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 45.7% | 54.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 43.0% | 57.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 42.6% | 57.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: San Diego State Aztecs -10 (46-56). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Boise State Broncos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Webb III * | 39 | 6-10 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 18 | - |
| N. Duncan * | 36 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - |
| D. Marks * | 34 | 6-22 | 1-3 | 5-7 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 1 | - |
| I. Hadziomerovic * | 20 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | - |
| C. Hutchison * | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| R. Heyer | 29 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 11 | - |
| M. Thompson | 15 | 0-5 | 0-2 | 6-6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| M. Alford | 12 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | - |
| K. Allen | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| D. Wacker | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W. Shepard * | 37 | 7-17 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 2 | - |
| J.J. O'Brien * | 36 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | - |
| M. Shrigley * | 27 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| A. Quinn * | 26 | 2-9 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | - |
| S. Spencer * | 22 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | - |
| T. Kell | 23 | 1-10 | 0-4 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -4 | - |
| M. Pope | 16 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 8 | - |
| A. Chol | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| D. Allen | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter