Rensselaer
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 988 (#261) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1074 (#193) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1092 (#103) | HCA +62 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -0.5 (#198) | HCA +2.3 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +1.0 (#355) | HCA +2.9 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.486 (#459) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 1.000 (#47) | NetEff +81.0 |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.617 (#316) | NetEff +3.3 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.406 (#408) | AdjNet -3.3 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.410 (#402) | AdjNet -3.1 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.439 (#410) | AdjO 59.3 | AdjD 62.0 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.565 (#275) | AdjO 57.0 | AdjD 54.2 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.598 (#297) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.607 (#290) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1133 (#118) | RD 102 | GP 22 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-07 | @ | SUNY Potsdam | W | 61 - 44 |
| 2025-11-08 | @ | Plattsburgh St. | L | 56 - 60 |
| 2025-11-15 | vs | Keene St. | W | 68 - 64 |
| 2025-11-18 | vs | Williams | W | 73 - 70 |
| 2025-11-21 | vs | Nazareth | L | 58 - 70 |
| 2025-11-22 | @ | St. John Fisher | W | 63 - 53 |
| 2025-11-26 | @ | UAlbany | L | 43 - 96 |
| 2025-12-01 | vs | Utica | W | 53 - 42 |
| 2025-12-13 | @ | Bard | W | 52 - 30 |
| 2026-01-10 | vs | Skidmore | W | 51 - 47 |
| 2026-01-16 | @ | Ithaca | W | 60 - 49 |
| 2026-01-17 | @ | RIT | L | 43 - 59 |
| 2026-01-23 | @ | Vassar | W | 52 - 41 |
| 2026-01-24 | @ | William Smith | W | 68 - 50 |
| 2026-01-30 | @ | Skidmore | W | 68 - 61 |
| 2026-01-31 | @ | Union (NY) | L | 41 - 62 |
| 2026-02-06 | vs | William Smith | W | 58 - 46 |
| 2026-02-07 | vs | Vassar | W | 57 - 39 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Siena Smith | - | 18 | 25.2 | 9.9 | 3.7 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 1.5 | 8.1 | 7.1 | 43 | 2.1 | 8.3 | 47.3 | 38.9 | 71.4 | -2.2 | 56.5 | 54.5 |
| Sophie Costello | - | 18 | 25.0 | 9.4 | 2.2 | 2.3 | 2.1 | 0.0 | 1.9 | 9.3 | 4.7 | 52 | 2.6 | 9.7 | 41.1 | 23.4 | 69.0 | 1.64 | 46.7 | 44.3 |
| Tyler Hormazabal | - | 18 | 25.4 | 6.9 | 3.7 | 2.2 | 2.8 | 0.2 | 3.1 | 6.2 | 6.5 | 69 | 3.5 | 12.1 | 39.6 | 25.9 | 76.9 | 2.24 | 48.8 | 42.8 |
| Brooke Boyle | - | 18 | 20.5 | 6.7 | 3.9 | 1.3 | 1.6 | 0.3 | 1.2 | 5.7 | 6.9 | 39 | 1.9 | 8.9 | 42.2 | 39.4 | 65.6 | 0.5 | 51.7 | 48.5 |
| Niamh Gendron | - | 17 | 19.9 | 5.9 | 4.7 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 5.7 | 5.9 | 100 | 5.6 | 21.3 | 40.2 | 34.7 | 66.7 | 4.47 | 50.0 | 49.0 |
| Emilia Rojik | - | 16 | 16.0 | 4.9 | 3.8 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 0.9 | 5.3 | 4.0 | -19 | -1.1 | -6.8 | 35.3 | 26.7 | 87.5 | -0.63 | 42.4 | 37.6 |
| Molly Libby | - | 18 | 13.6 | 3.6 | 1.7 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 1.1 | 4.9 | 0.4 | -12 | -0.6 | -4.9 | 27.3 | 28.6 | 62.5 | -2.47 | 35.5 | 34.1 |
| Sydney Blaney | - | 17 | 14.4 | 3.2 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 0.9 | 0.0 | 2.1 | 3.7 | 0.8 | 7 | 0.4 | 2.4 | 34.9 | 16.0 | 77.8 | -2.06 | 41.1 | 38.1 |
| Danielle Strauf | - | 18 | 17.3 | 2.5 | 1.0 | 1.1 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 1.7 | 3.3 | 0.3 | 53 | 2.8 | 14.4 | 23.3 | 21.9 | 71.4 | 0.71 | 34.0 | 29.2 |
| Simran Randhawa | - | 6 | 6.4 | 2.5 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 2.3 | 0.8 | -3 | -0.4 | -9.0 | 35.7 | 37.5 | 100.0 | -1.24 | 50.4 | 46.4 |
| Callie Flynn | - | 12 | 10.6 | 2.2 | 4.0 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 2.2 | 5.7 | 19 | 1.2 | 9.0 | 40.7 | 0 | 44.4 | -1.3 | 42.0 | 40.7 |
| Jessica Sterbens | - | 7 | 5.6 | 1.6 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 1.6 | 1.1 | 3 | 0.4 | 11.5 | 45.5 | 50.0 | 0.0 | -0.03 | 46.3 | 50.0 |
| Megan Heyns | - | 17 | 10.6 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 2.4 | 1.5 | 9 | 0.5 | 4.5 | 27.5 | 18.8 | 100.0 | 0.13 | 32.1 | 31.2 |
| Elyssa Kalamaras | - | 4 | 4.6 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.2 | 0.8 | -7 | -1.4 | -85.3 | 40.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.71 | 40.0 | 40.0 |
| Ava Letizia | - | 6 | 4.4 | 0.7 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 2.2 | -0.3 | 3 | 0.3 | 15.7 | 15.4 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.86 | 15.4 | 15.4 |
| Caroline Vient | - | 5 | 4.5 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 1.0 | 0.8 | -0.6 | 2 | 0.3 | 14.5 | 25.0 | 0 | 0 | -1.11 | 25.0 | 25.0 |
| Isabel Bandini | - | 4 | 4.7 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 1.0 | -0.2 | -7 | -1.4 | -79.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.76 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG