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Vassar

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2020 2019 2017 2016 2015
Also known as: Vassar
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 954 (#327) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1068 (#205) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +62 elo More → 1019 (#298) HCA +62 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.3 More → +1.7 (#180) HCA +2.3
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.9 More → -3.4 (#416) HCA +2.9
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.858 (#266) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -2.1 More → 0.428 (#381) NetEff -2.1
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +15.6 More → 0.858 (#236) AdjNet +15.6
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +15.3 More → 0.859 (#239) AdjNet +15.3
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 66.8 | AdjD 58.6 More → 0.677 (#253) AdjO 66.8 | AdjD 58.6
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 56.3 | AdjD 56.6 More → 0.493 (#401) AdjO 56.3 | AdjD 56.6
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.481 (#394) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.480 (#402) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 97 | GP 21 More → 998 (#311) RD 97 | GP 21

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-12 @ SUNY New Paltz L 55 - 70
2025-11-22 vs Misericordia W 66 - 30
2025-11-29 @ Mt. St. Mary (NY) L 68 - 72
2025-12-03 @ Trinity (CT) L 60 - 68
2025-12-29 @ Bowdoin L 44 - 64
2025-12-30 @ Tufts L 68 - 84
2026-01-10 vs St. Lawrence W 70 - 58
2026-01-16 @ RIT L 43 - 62
2026-01-17 @ Union (NY) W 54 - 52
2026-01-20 @ Skidmore W 53 - 50
2026-01-23 vs Rensselaer L 41 - 52
2026-01-24 vs Bard W 51 - 34
2026-01-30 @ St. Lawrence L 59 - 68
2026-01-31 @ Clarkson W 65 - 53
2026-02-03 vs Skidmore L 55 - 59
2026-02-06 @ Bard W 63 - 41
2026-02-07 @ Rensselaer L 39 - 57

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Sierra McDermed - 17 33.6 12.9 5.9 2.1 1.6 0.8 2.9 10.4 10.1 -82 -3.9 -17.5 44.9 43.9 75.9 0.2 54.6 50.0
Lindsey Shoulders - 14 23.1 11.0 6.6 0.8 0.9 0.2 1.4 10.4 7.6 -33 -1.8 -14.8 42.8 21.4 58.7 1.36 46.6 43.8
Maureen Regan - 17 32.0 9.3 4.8 2.0 2.5 0.1 3.0 10.1 5.6 -91 -4.3 -18.0 38.0 25.4 61.1 -2.05 44.2 43.0
Elodie Ware - 17 21.8 6.5 3.2 0.8 0.5 1.1 1.6 7.8 2.6 -68 -3.2 -21.2 30.1 15.2 83.3 -1.6 37.6 32.0
Erin Lovett - 15 18.2 5.8 3.7 1.2 1.0 0.4 2.6 5.7 3.8 53 2.8 20.4 32.9 0.0 72.1 2.74 41.9 32.9
Sophia Ippolito - 17 28.3 5.6 1.6 0.9 0.9 0.1 1.8 5.3 2.1 -75 -3.6 -19.6 32.2 17.1 81.1 -2.09 44.7 36.1
Emery Mullen - 10 17.7 4.1 3.6 1.0 1.2 0.7 1.8 3.1 5.7 -23 -2.1 -11.3 58.1 50.0 66.7 1.16 60.9 59.7
Maddie Ahearn - 14 21.4 3.1 1.6 0.9 0.4 0.1 1.1 3.1 1.9 2 0.1 0.5 36.4 29.2 100.0 1.62 47.0 44.3
Sam Lederman - 17 11.6 1.9 1.1 0.4 0.7 0.1 1.1 2.5 0.6 -78 -3.7 -42.9 27.9 31.6 50.0 -2.43 36.2 34.9
Ava Gurley - 17 9.4 0.8 1.6 0.5 0.2 0.2 0.5 1.0 1.9 -40 -1.9 -23.7 29.4 11.1 100.0 -4.61 36.4 32.4

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG