Nazareth
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1252 (#34) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1241 (#47) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1212 (#20) | HCA +62 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +8.0 (#130) | HCA +2.4 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +6.8 (#252) | HCA +2.9 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.920 (#223) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.821 (#211) | NetEff +10.9 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.798 (#275) | AdjNet +11.9 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.794 (#275) | AdjNet +11.4 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.638 (#280) | AdjO 68.5 | AdjD 62.2 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.723 (#106) | AdjO 65.9 | AdjD 55.4 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.782 (#142) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.789 (#133) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1287 (#30) | RD 102 | GP 22 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-07 | @ | Saint Vincent | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-08 | @ | Messiah | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-14 | vs | Buffalo St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-21 | @ | Rensselaer | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-22 | @ | Rochester (NY) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-13 | vs | Westminster (PA) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-14 | vs | Piedmont | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-28 | @ | Cal Lutheran | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-29 | @ | La Verne | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-10 | @ | SUNY Brockport | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-16 | vs | Elmira | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-17 | vs | Keuka | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-23 | @ | Russell Sage | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-24 | @ | Hartwick | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-28 | vs | St. John Fisher | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-30 | vs | Utica | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-31 | vs | SUNY Poly | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-06 | vs | SUNY Brockport | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-07 | vs | SUNY Geneseo | - | Incomplete score |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grace Corelli | - | 1 | 32.0 | 19.0 | 9.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 8.0 | 21.0 | -6 | -0.4 | -1.7 | 75.0 | 71.4 | 66.7 | 0.38 | 101.9 | 106.2 |
| Emilia Rojik | - | 1 | 27.0 | 17.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 7.0 | 15.0 | -19 | -1.1 | -6.8 | 100.0 | 100.0 | 100.0 | -2.33 | 107.9 | 107.1 |
| Sophie Costello | - | 1 | 22.0 | 14.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 12.0 | 5.0 | 52 | 2.6 | 9.7 | 50.0 | 66.7 | 0 | -1.34 | 58.3 | 58.3 |
| Bridget Miller | - | 1 | 20.0 | 13.0 | 7.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 10.0 | 13.0 | 32 | 2.3 | 16.4 | 50.0 | 50.0 | 25.0 | 2.79 | 55.3 | 60.0 |
| Katie MacLachlan | - | 17 | 28.2 | 12.9 | 7.1 | 3.3 | 2.0 | 0.6 | 2.2 | 10.9 | 12.7 | 173 | 9.6 | 29.2 | 45.2 | 32.9 | 62.5 | 2.41 | 54.0 | 52.4 |
| Molly Benetti | - | 17 | 26.8 | 12.8 | 6.0 | 3.5 | 0.6 | 2.1 | 2.6 | 12.1 | 10.4 | 175 | 9.7 | 34.2 | 43.9 | 11.1 | 81.8 | 4.22 | 48.6 | 44.4 |
| Kiara Anglin | - | 17 | 30.4 | 9.9 | 8.3 | 2.3 | 3.1 | 1.1 | 2.1 | 7.6 | 14.9 | 189 | 10.5 | 31.2 | 47.7 | 29.8 | 36.1 | 2.83 | 50.4 | 53.1 |
| Sarina McDowell | - | 17 | 24.1 | 9.3 | 6.4 | 1.2 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 1.8 | 7.5 | 8.6 | 136 | 7.6 | 26.4 | 48.4 | 15.4 | 78.0 | 1.74 | 54.1 | 49.2 |
| Madalyn Kelly | - | 13 | 25.7 | 9.3 | 2.5 | 1.7 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 1.8 | 9.1 | 3.8 | 137 | 9.8 | 28.1 | 40.7 | 22.9 | 69.2 | 2.53 | 48.9 | 47.5 |
| Niamh Gendron | - | 1 | 23.0 | 8.0 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.0 | 10.0 | 100 | 5.6 | 21.3 | 42.9 | 50.0 | 0 | 4.66 | 57.1 | 57.1 |
| Hazell Nickerson | - | 1 | 17.0 | 8.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 8.0 | 2.0 | -39 | -2.4 | -15.7 | 37.5 | 50.0 | 0 | -2.65 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Claire Groenewoud | - | 1 | 19.0 | 8.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 6.0 | 3.0 | -38 | -2.4 | -9.7 | 50.0 | 0.0 | 66.7 | 3.79 | 54.6 | 50.0 |
| Tia Poulakidas | - | 1 | 13.0 | 7.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 6.0 | -17 | -1.2 | -5.8 | 50.0 | 0 | 75.0 | 0.26 | 60.8 | 50.0 |
| Brooke Boyle | - | 1 | 18.0 | 6.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 7.0 | 6.0 | 39 | 1.9 | 8.9 | 28.6 | 0.0 | 100.0 | 1.6 | 38.1 | 28.6 |
| Siena Smith | - | 1 | 22.0 | 6.0 | 6.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 7.0 | 6.0 | 43 | 2.1 | 8.3 | 42.9 | 0 | 0 | -0.86 | 42.9 | 42.9 |
| Molly Libby | - | 1 | 21.0 | 5.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 10.0 | 2.0 | -12 | -0.6 | -4.9 | 20.0 | 20.0 | 0 | -2.48 | 25.0 | 25.0 |
| Annelise Dexter | - | 1 | 14.0 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 6.0 | 1.0 | -33 | -2.1 | -10.3 | 33.3 | 0.0 | 50.0 | -0.01 | 36.3 | 33.3 |
| Macy Bacon | - | 1 | 13.0 | 5.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 17 | 1.1 | 11.4 | 50.0 | 100.0 | 0 | 3.19 | 62.5 | 62.5 |
| Payton Littlefield | - | 17 | 13.4 | 4.8 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 1.2 | 4.8 | 1.0 | 39 | 2.2 | 14.5 | 33.3 | 27.3 | 69.2 | 0.26 | 46.7 | 44.4 |
| Franki Gomez | - | 1 | 27.0 | 4.0 | 6.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 7.0 | 4.0 | -19 | -1.2 | -5.5 | 28.6 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.94 | 28.6 | 28.6 |
| Tessa Schuey | - | 17 | 16.9 | 3.5 | 1.6 | 2.5 | 1.2 | 0.1 | 1.6 | 4.2 | 3.2 | 34 | 1.9 | 13.5 | 28.2 | 17.6 | 81.2 | -2.41 | 37.8 | 32.4 |
| Leah Fusilli | - | 13 | 15.6 | 3.3 | 3.8 | 2.6 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 1.7 | 3.3 | 5.7 | 71 | 4.7 | 27.4 | 41.9 | 40.0 | 41.7 | 0.32 | 44.5 | 44.2 |
| Morgan Caraballo | - | 17 | 11.2 | 2.6 | 0.9 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 1.1 | 3.0 | 0.7 | 23 | 1.3 | 10.6 | 31.4 | 29.0 | 50.0 | -0.04 | 41.0 | 40.2 |
| Megan Heyns | - | 1 | 9.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 9 | 0.5 | 4.5 | 25.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.97 | 25.0 | 25.0 |
| Deniz Alparslan | - | 1 | 20.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 8.0 | 25 | 1.6 | 10.9 | 33.3 | 0 | 0.0 | 3.61 | 25.8 | 33.3 |
| Peyton Jones | - | 1 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | -17 | -1.2 | -84.8 | 0.0 | 0 | 100.0 | -1.66 | 53.2 | 0.0 |
| Chianna Williams | - | 15 | 9.8 | 1.9 | 2.0 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 2.5 | 2.1 | 49 | 3.1 | 31.7 | 21.1 | 23.8 | 70.0 | 2.5 | 33.0 | 27.6 |
| Jordyn Gross | - | 12 | 3.4 | 1.4 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 1.2 | 0.8 | -16 | -1.5 | -31.4 | 57.1 | 0 | 50.0 | -1.7 | 57.1 | 57.1 |
| Megan Tyler | - | 9 | 4.2 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 1.1 | 0.8 | -18 | -2.0 | -40.6 | 20.0 | 16.7 | 100.0 | -2.04 | 38.3 | 25.0 |
| Juliet Schwartz | - | 1 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 50.0 | - | 56.8 | 0 |
| Brayden Schultz | - | 12 | 7.8 | 0.9 | 2.5 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.7 | 1.3 | 2.8 | -22 | -1.6 | -21.2 | 31.2 | 33.3 | 0 | -3.74 | 34.4 | 34.4 |
| Tyler Hormazabal | - | 1 | 18.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 69 | 3.5 | 12.1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0.85 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Sydney Blaney | - | 1 | 18.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | -2.0 | 7 | 0.4 | 2.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.14 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Danielle Strauf | - | 1 | 21.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | -4.0 | 53 | 2.8 | 14.4 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 2.91 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Zoey Seymour | - | 1 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 25 | 2.8 | 80.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3.63 | 0 | 0 |
| Melis Alparslan | - | 1 | 12.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | -11 | -0.7 | -4.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 2.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Allison Dauer | - | 1 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | -1.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Ava Sandroni | - | 1 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | -1.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG