Utica
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 859 (#504) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 853 (#496) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 878 (#631) | HCA +62 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -15.7 (#365) | HCA +2.4 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -15.7 (#565) | HCA +2.9 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.132 (#616) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.156 (#465) | NetEff -12.2 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.033 (#627) | AdjNet -29.2 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.029 (#625) | AdjNet -29.8 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.157 (#622) | AdjO 53.2 | AdjD 71.6 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.306 (#598) | AdjO 56.8 | AdjD 65.9 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.182 (#609) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.193 (#607) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 841 (#473) | RD 100 | GP 22 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-07 | vs | Union (NY) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-14 | @ | SUNY Potsdam | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-15 | @ | Plattsburgh St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-21 | @ | Westfield St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-22 | @ | Mitchell | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-25 | vs | Norwich | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-01 | @ | Rensselaer | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-03 | vs | SUNY Canton | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-10 | @ | Alfred | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-13 | @ | Hartwick | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-16 | vs | SUNY Brockport | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-17 | vs | SUNY Geneseo | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-23 | vs | Keuka | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-24 | vs | Elmira | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-27 | @ | SUNY Poly | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-30 | @ | Nazareth | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-31 | @ | St. John Fisher | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-06 | vs | Alfred | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-07 | vs | Houghton | - | Incomplete score |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vanessa Hall | - | 19 | 34.9 | 18.6 | 7.5 | 1.2 | 0.9 | 0.5 | 1.6 | 14.6 | 12.4 | -65 | -3.0 | -8.9 | 44.6 | 33.3 | 85.1 | 0.37 | 55.4 | 49.3 |
| McKenzie Simmons | - | 19 | 34.4 | 12.6 | 5.4 | 2.3 | 2.3 | 0.0 | 2.6 | 12.8 | 7.1 | -39 | -1.8 | -5.6 | 32.5 | 23.4 | 80.3 | 2.53 | 43.8 | 37.7 |
| Natalie Cornell | - | 19 | 26.8 | 7.6 | 6.9 | 1.9 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 1.5 | 8.0 | 8.1 | -32 | -1.5 | -5.4 | 36.2 | 0.0 | 64.8 | -0.96 | 41.2 | 36.2 |
| Brianelly Cruz | - | 1 | 2.0 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | - | - | - | 100.0 | 100.0 | 0 | - | 150.0 | 150.0 |
| Carly Atty | - | 19 | 30.9 | 5.3 | 3.9 | 2.6 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 2.9 | 5.4 | 3.9 | -56 | -2.5 | -10.4 | 34.0 | 29.4 | 78.6 | -0.58 | 46.3 | 43.7 |
| Madison Marusic | - | 19 | 20.2 | 4.6 | 2.3 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 1.7 | 6.1 | 0.5 | -73 | -3.3 | -20.2 | 29.3 | 23.9 | 66.7 | -2.28 | 37.1 | 36.2 |
| Destiny Herring | - | 5 | 18.0 | 4.2 | 4.4 | 1.8 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 3.0 | 6.2 | 2.4 | - | - | - | 22.6 | 0.0 | 58.3 | -1.84 | 28.9 | 22.6 |
| Emma Simmons | - | 15 | 20.3 | 3.9 | 3.4 | 2.0 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 2.7 | 4.2 | 2.7 | -9 | -0.5 | -2.5 | 31.7 | 32.0 | 52.6 | 1.12 | 40.6 | 38.1 |
| Jayla Bell | - | 15 | 11.0 | 3.2 | 1.9 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.7 | 2.9 | 2.5 | -78 | -4.6 | -99.1 | 40.9 | 43.8 | 45.5 | -4.8 | 49.1 | 48.9 |
| Kierstin Einhiple | - | 1 | 8.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 75.0 | - | 39.9 | 0.0 |
| Madison Laduke | - | 4 | 18.2 | 2.5 | 6.8 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5 | 3.0 | 6.8 | -57 | -2.7 | -33.1 | 41.7 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.54 | 41.7 | 41.7 |
| Hanna Godkin | - | 10 | 10.6 | 2.1 | 1.6 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 2.5 | 2.2 | -82 | -6.3 | -69.9 | 28.0 | 25.0 | 100.0 | -2.75 | 39.9 | 36.0 |
| Marlie Macek | - | 1 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | -7 | -1.8 | -442.1 | 50.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Jaida Larsen | - | 7 | 4.9 | 1.1 | 1.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.9 | 0.9 | 0.9 | -3 | -0.4 | -6.4 | 50.0 | 0 | 100.0 | 0.21 | 58.1 | 50.0 |
| Kate Mahoney | - | 9 | 6.4 | 1.0 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 1.1 | 1.4 | -0.2 | -27 | -2.7 | -22.3 | 23.1 | 20.0 | 33.3 | -2.53 | 28.8 | 26.9 |
| Sara Hotaling | - | 4 | 3.1 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 0.8 | -0.8 | -7 | -1.8 | -33.5 | 33.3 | 33.3 | 0 | - | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Madalynn Enos | - | 3 | 3.2 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 1.3 | 0.3 | -0.3 | -12 | -4.0 | -355.6 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Addie Oram | - | 2 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Madalynne Enos | - | 2 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | -12 | -4.0 | -355.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Kendall Abraham | - | 1 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG