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Purdue

Season: 2027 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018
Also known as: Purdue Boilermakers, Purdue
Program History
Coach: Matt Painter

2018 Team Stats (25 games)

80.4
PPG
65.6
Opp
+14.8
Margin
49.4%
FG%
43.2%
3P%
74.4%
FT%
34.0
RPG
16.8
APG
10.3
TO
-
Est. poss./game
82.8
Adj PPG
62.3
Adj Opp PPG
#3
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2017-2018
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1441 (#10) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1321 (#10) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +95 elo More → 1127 (#28) HCA +95 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.9 More → +21.8 (#3) HCA +2.9
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.8 More → +17.7 (#4) HCA +2.8
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.910 (#6) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +31.3 More → 0.974 (#4) AdjNet +31.3
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +31.7 More → 0.975 (#4) AdjNet +31.7
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 82.8 | AdjD 62.3 More → 0.866 (#3) AdjO 82.8 | AdjD 62.3
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 77.8 | AdjD 66.2 More → 0.741 (#10) AdjO 77.8 | AdjD 66.2
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.896 (#5) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.880 (#7) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 101 | GP 37 More → 1329 (#10) RD 101 | GP 37

2018 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2017-11-10 vs SIU Edwardsville Cougars W 105 - 74
2017-11-12 vs Chicago State Cougars W 111 - 42
2017-11-14 @ Marquette Golden Eagles W 86 - 71
2017-11-18 vs Fairfield Stags W 106 - 64
2017-11-22 vs Tennessee Volunteers L 75 - 78
2017-11-23 @ Western Kentucky Hilltoppers L 73 - 77
2017-11-24 vs Arizona Wildcats W 89 - 64
2017-11-28 vs Louisville Cardinals W 66 - 57
2017-12-01 @ Maryland Terrapins W 80 - 75
2017-12-03 vs Northwestern Wildcats W 74 - 69
2017-12-07 vs Valparaiso Beacons W 80 - 50
2017-12-10 vs IU Indianapolis Jaguars W 86 - 61
2017-12-16 @ Butler Bulldogs W 82 - 67
2017-12-21 vs Tennessee State Tigers W 97 - 48
2017-12-30 vs Lipscomb Bisons W 98 - 66
2018-01-03 vs Rutgers Scarlet Knights W 82 - 51
2018-01-06 vs Nebraska Cornhuskers W 74 - 62
2018-01-09 @ Michigan Wolverines W 70 - 69
2018-01-13 @ Minnesota Golden Gophers W 81 - 47
2018-01-16 vs Wisconsin Badgers W 78 - 50
2018-01-20 @ Iowa Hawkeyes W 87 - 64
2018-01-25 vs Michigan Wolverines W 92 - 88
2018-01-28 @ Indiana Hoosiers W 74 - 67
2018-01-31 vs Maryland Terrapins W 75 - 67
2018-02-03 @ Rutgers Scarlet Knights W 78 - 76
2018-02-07 vs Ohio State Buckeyes L 63 - 64
2018-02-10 @ Michigan State Spartans L 65 - 68
2018-02-15 @ Wisconsin Badgers L 53 - 57
2018-02-18 vs Penn State Nittany Lions W 76 - 73
2018-02-22 @ Illinois Fighting Illini W 93 - 86
2018-02-25 vs Minnesota Golden Gophers W 84 - 60
2018-03-02 vs Rutgers Scarlet Knights W 82 - 75
2018-03-03 vs Penn State Nittany Lions W 78 - 70
2018-03-04 vs Michigan Wolverines L 66 - 75
2018-03-16 vs Cal State Fullerton Titans W 74 - 48
2018-03-18 vs Butler Bulldogs W 76 - 73
2018-03-23 vs Texas Tech Red Raiders L 65 - 78

2018 Roster

Minutes by Position

Each player's share of the team's minutes per game (season minutes over the roster's), placed by position, so every column is one game's minutes. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Carsen Edwards Carsen Edwards - 37 29.5 18.5 3.8 2.8 1.1 0.2 1.7 10.9 13.9 378 31 12.2 18.1 45.4 42.9 81.7 1.49 74.9 55.6
Isaac Haas Isaac Haas C 35 23.4 14.7 5.7 0.7 0.1 1.3 1.7 6.6 14.4 355 30 11.8 21.8 61.9 0 74.5 4.59 88.2 61.9
Vince Edwards Vince Edwards F 35 31.6 14.6 7.4 2.9 0.5 0.6 2.0 8.4 15.6 442 29 15.2 21.2 49.3 39.6 82.6 5.87 76.4 56.1
Dakota Mathias Dakota Mathias - 37 31.4 12.0 4.1 3.9 1.2 0.2 1.5 6.5 13.6 407 31 13.1 18.5 45.0 46.3 86.1 3.08 87.0 60.6
P.J. Thompson P.J. Thompson G 37 27.9 7.5 1.8 1.8 1.2 0.1 0.9 3.8 7.6 363 31 11.7 18.0 45.0 42.9 81.0 1.53 87.1 62.1
Matt Haarms Matt Haarms F 37 17.1 4.8 3.2 0.6 0.3 2.1 0.8 2.5 7.7 143 31 4.6 12.5 61.7 25.0 55.3 -1.09 77.2 62.2
Ryan Cline Ryan Cline G 37 17.3 4.0 1.7 1.7 0.4 0.1 0.5 2.6 4.6 159 31 5.1 13.3 38.8 41.8 83.3 0.37 73.0 55.6
Nojel Eastern Nojel Eastern - 37 12.6 2.9 2.5 1.1 0.6 0.1 1.1 2.1 3.9 113 31 3.6 13.1 49.4 37.5 42.9 0.51 54.9 51.3
Jacquil Taylor Jacquil Taylor F 18 6.4 1.9 1.4 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.4 1.5 2.3 15 13 1.2 7.3 40.7 40.0 83.3 -1.66 59.0 44.4
Eden Ewing Eden Ewing F 6 4.5 1.7 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.5 0.5 13 6 2.2 20.3 44.4 33.3 0 0.37 55.6 50.0
Grady Eifert Grady Eifert F 36 8.3 1.6 1.7 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.2 0.6 3.1 13 29 0.4 2.2 63.6 66.7 47.1 -1.84 96.7 68.2
Tommy Luce Tommy Luce G 13 2.7 0.7 0.2 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.5 0.7 0.5 19 11 1.7 27.1 22.2 0.0 50.0 0.98 38.7 22.2

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG