Model Predictions
| Model | Purdue Boilermakers | Illinois Fighting Illini | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 53.4% | 46.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 60.2% | 39.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 48.1% | 51.9% | +0.4 | ✗ (7.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 81.6% | 18.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 89.7% | 10.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 89.7% | 10.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Illinois Fighting Illini -7 (86-93). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Purdue Boilermakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Mathias * | 37 | 7-11 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 16 | - |
| C. Edwards * | 35 | 11-19 | 4-8 | 14-16 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 40 | 28 | - |
| P.J. Thompson * | 29 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 10 | - |
| G. Eifert * | 28 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 7 | - |
| I. Haas * | 27 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 9 | - |
| R. Cline | 17 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 10 | - |
| N. Eastern | 15 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| M. Haarms | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
Illinois Fighting Illini
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Vesel | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| T. Frazier * | 33 | 7-15 | 4-11 | 2-2 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 16 | - |
| T. Lucas * | 32 | 4-6 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 17 | - |
| L. Black * | 30 | 12-25 | 3-7 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 28 | 7 | - |
| K. Nichols * | 15 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| M. Alstork * | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Ma. Smith | 21 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | - |
| D. Williams | 19 | 4-4 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 13 | - |
| M. Finke | 15 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| G. Eboigbodin | 13 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | - |
| A. Jordan | 8 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
* = starter