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Penn State Nittany Lions 70
@
Purdue Boilermakers 78
2018-03-03

Model Predictions

Model Penn State Nittany Lions Purdue Boilermakers Spread Result
Elo 33.5% 66.5% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 28.2% 71.8% - ✓
Margin 14.7% 85.3% +9.7 ✓ (1.7 off)
Pythagorean 43.4% 56.6% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 17.9% 82.1% - ✓
Log Adjusted 17.6% 82.4% - ✓
Points Off/Def 29.8% 70.2% - ✓

Actual: Purdue Boilermakers +8 (78-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Penn State Nittany Lions

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Garner * 40 8-11 6-8 11-12 3 1 3 0 1 33 28 -
L. Stevens * 37 4-12 1-4 5-5 6 1 0 0 0 14 9 -
T. Carr * 37 4-18 1-6 3-6 9 4 0 0 3 12 4 -
J. Reaves * 36 0-9 0-4 0-0 5 2 2 0 1 0 -1 -
J. Harrar * 9 2-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 1 0 4 4 -
N. Bostick 12 1-3 0-0 2-2 3 0 0 0 0 4 4 -
J. Moore 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -
J. Wheeler 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 1 0 1 0 1 -

Purdue Boilermakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Carsen Edwards * 36 9-18 6-9 3-6 4 2 0 0 2 27 13 -
Vince Edwards * 35 2-9 0-3 3-4 6 5 0 1 1 7 9 -
Dakota Mathias * 31 5-7 2-4 3-4 6 1 1 0 2 15 14 -
Isaac Haas * 26 6-9 0-0 5-5 7 1 0 2 3 17 15 -
P.J. Thompson * 21 1-3 1-3 0-1 1 0 1 0 1 3 1 -
Nojel Eastern 18 0-0 0-0 1-2 3 1 0 0 0 1 5 -
Ryan Cline 14 2-2 2-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 6 4 -
Matt Haarms 13 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 1 2 2 2 -
Grady Eifert 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter