Model Predictions
| Model | Penn State Nittany Lions | Purdue Boilermakers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 28.6% | 71.4% | +5.0 | ✓ (2.0 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 28.2% | 71.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 14.7% | 85.3% | +9.7 | ✓ (6.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.4% | 56.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 17.9% | 82.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 17.6% | 82.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 29.8% | 70.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Purdue Boilermakers +3 (76-73). Ratings: 2017-18 season-end ratings.
Penn State Nittany Lions
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lamar Stevens * | 38 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 4-6 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 10 | - |
| Josh Reaves * | 38 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 11 | - |
| Tony Carr * | 36 | 8-22 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 7 | - |
| Shep Garner * | 25 | 6-9 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 11 | - |
| Mike Watkins * | 9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Nazeer Bostick | 14 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Julian Moore | 14 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Satchel Pierce | 13 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Jamari Wheeler | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| John Harrar | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Purdue Boilermakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carsen Edwards * | 35 | 9-19 | 3-8 | 6-7 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 27 | 17 | - |
| Dakota Mathias * | 34 | 7-11 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 13 | - |
| Isaac Haas * | 27 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 4-7 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 12 | - |
| Grady Eifert * | 23 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 2-5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 10 | - |
| P.J. Thompson * | 21 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Nojel Eastern | 22 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Ryan Cline | 21 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Matt Haarms | 17 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
* = starter