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2017-12-16

Model Predictions

Model Purdue Boilermakers Butler Bulldogs Spread Result
Elo 58.8% 41.2% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 60.1% 39.9% - โœ“
Margin 63.6% 36.4% -3.1 โœ“ (11.9 off)
Pythagorean 52.7% 47.3% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 76.9% 23.1% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 77.3% 22.7% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 56.6% 43.4% - โœ“

Actual: Butler Bulldogs -15 (67-82). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Purdue Boilermakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Vince Edwards * 38 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 1 0 3 3 15 22 -
Dakota Mathias * 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 5 1 0 2 14 22 -
P.J. Thompson * 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 2 4 0 2 12 18 -
Carsen Edwards * 29 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 4 2 1 5 18 24 -
Isaac Haas * 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 1 4 15 15 -
Matt Haarms 27 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 3 1 2 9 -
Ryan Cline 20 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 2 1 6 11 -
Nojel Eastern 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 2 0 0 0 0 4 -

Butler Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kelan Martin * 39 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 1 3 2 2 17 27 -
Kamar Baldwin * 36 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 2 0 5 13 15 -
Paul Jorgensen * 36 0-0 0-0 0-0 8 2 2 0 0 15 27 -
Aaron Thompson * 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 4 1 0 5 10 10 -
Tyler Wideman * 22 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 2 0 1 1 7 15 -
Nate Fowler 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 0 3 2 2 -
Henry Baddley 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 0 2 -
Sean McDermott 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Joey Brunk 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 3 5 -
Christian David 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter