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2018-02-10

Model Predictions

Model Purdue Boilermakers Michigan State Spartans Spread Result
Elo 47.2% 52.8% -
Bradley-Terry 48.2% 51.8% -
Margin 44.3% 55.7% +1.3 (1.7 off)
Pythagorean 45.6% 54.4% -
Efficiency 46.1% 53.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 48.8% 51.2% -
Log Adjusted 49.0% 51.0% -

Actual: Michigan State Spartans +3 (68-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Purdue Boilermakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
V. Edwards * 35 3-11 1-5 1-2 7 6 1 0 0 8 11 -
C. Edwards * 35 5-15 2-7 2-2 4 1 0 0 0 14 4 -
P.J. Thompson * 34 1-2 1-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 3 2 -
D. Mathias * 30 3-9 2-5 0-0 3 6 0 0 0 8 8 -
I. Haas * 27 12-22 0-0 1-1 5 1 0 1 2 25 8 -
R. Cline 15 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
M. Haarms 13 2-3 0-0 3-5 3 0 0 2 0 7 9 -
N. Eastern 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 0 2 -
G. Eifert 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 0 0 0 4 -

Michigan State Spartans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Winston * 36 4-10 1-3 1-2 7 10 0 0 3 10 14 -
M. Bridges * 32 9-14 2-4 0-0 3 1 0 0 1 20 9 -
J. Langford * 19 2-7 0-1 2-2 5 3 0 0 0 6 7 -
J. Jackson Jr. * 13 1-6 0-3 0-0 5 2 0 1 1 2 3 -
N. Ward * 11 3-6 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 0 6 5 -
K. Goins 30 3-6 0-2 0-0 3 3 0 2 0 6 8 -
M. McQuaid 29 3-6 3-5 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 9 4 -
G. Schilling 20 3-3 0-0 1-2 7 2 1 1 0 7 15 -
X. Tillman 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
L. Nairn Jr. 4 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 2 0 -
B. Carter 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter