๐Ÿปโฌ‡๏ธ๐Ÿ€

Pittsburgh

Also known as: Pittsburgh Panthers
Program History

2018 Team Stats (7 games)

53.3
PPG
76.6
Opp
-23.3
Margin
36.7%
FG%
27.4%
3P%
65.3%
FT%
27.9
RPG
9.0
APG
13.9
TO
-
Est. poss./game
64.7
Adj PPG
67.9
Adj Opp PPG
#207
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2017-2018
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 911 (#218) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 890 (#259) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +95 elo More โ†’ 836 (#346) HCA +95 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.9 More โ†’ -2.6 (#198) HCA +2.9
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.8 More โ†’ -4.2 (#233) HCA +2.8
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.145 (#336) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -3.9 More โ†’ 0.391 (#199) AdjNet -3.9
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -3.8 More โ†’ 0.390 (#200) AdjNet -3.8
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 64.7 | AdjD 67.9 More โ†’ 0.429 (#207) AdjO 64.7 | AdjD 67.9
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 62.5 | AdjD 69.7 More โ†’ 0.340 (#317) AdjO 62.5 | AdjD 69.7
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.340 (#253) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.323 (#270) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 144 | GP 32 More โ†’ 882 (#257) RD 144 | GP 32

2018 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2017-11-10 @ Navy Midshipmen L 62 - 71
2017-11-13 vs Montana Grizzlies L 78 - 83
2017-11-15 vs UC Santa Barbara Gauchos W 70 - 62
2017-11-20 vs Penn State Nittany Lions L 54 - 85
2017-11-21 @ Oklahoma State Cowboys L 67 - 73
2017-11-25 vs Lehigh Mountain Hawks W 80 - 68
2017-11-28 vs High Point Panthers W 71 - 63
2017-12-01 @ Duquesne Dukes W 76 - 64
2017-12-05 vs Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers W 82 - 78
2017-12-09 vs West Virginia Mountaineers L 60 - 69
2017-12-16 vs McNeese Cowboys W 72 - 51
2017-12-19 vs Delaware State Hornets W 74 - 68
2017-12-22 vs Towson Tigers W 63 - 59
2017-12-30 vs Miami Hurricanes L 53 - 67
2018-01-02 @ Louisville Cardinals L 51 - 77
2018-01-06 @ Virginia Tech Hokies L 67 - 81
2018-01-10 vs Duke Blue Devils L 52 - 87
2018-01-13 vs Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets L 54 - 69
2018-01-16 @ Syracuse Orange L 45 - 59
2018-01-20 @ Duke Blue Devils L 54 - 81
2018-01-24 vs NC State Wolfpack L 68 - 72
2018-01-27 vs Syracuse Orange L 55 - 60
2018-01-31 @ Miami Hurricanes L 57 - 69
2018-02-03 @ North Carolina Tar Heels L 65 - 96
2018-02-08 @ Clemson Tigers L 48 - 72
2018-02-11 vs Louisville Cardinals L 60 - 94
2018-02-13 vs Boston College Eagles L 58 - 81
2018-02-18 @ Florida State Seminoles L 75 - 88
2018-02-21 vs Wake Forest Demon Deacons L 57 - 63
2018-02-24 vs Virginia Cavaliers L 37 - 66
2018-02-28 @ Notre Dame Fighting Irish L 56 - 73
2018-03-06 @ Notre Dame Fighting Irish L 64 - 67

2018 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Jared Wilson-Frame Jared Wilson-Frame G 30 28.1 13.1 3.6 1.5 0.5 0.1 2.3 3.7 13.0 -176 23 -7.7 -12.2 38.2 31.3 88.9 -2.34 172.9 47.7
Ryan Luther Ryan Luther F 10 32.5 12.7 10.1 2.8 1.6 0.7 1.9 2.1 23.9 - - - - 57.1 50.0 80.0 - 250.0 61.9
Marcus Carr Marcus Carr - 30 28.7 10.1 2.9 3.9 0.6 0.1 2.8 2.8 12.2 -132 23 -5.7 -8.5 37.3 25.0 68.0 1.42 161.7 41.6
Shamiel Stevenson Shamiel Stevenson G 30 23.9 8.8 4.5 1.1 0.5 0.3 2.3 1.6 11.2 -86 23 -3.7 -7.3 46.9 33.3 60.6 1.6 208.6 51.0
Parker Stewart Parker Stewart - 30 25.6 8.6 3.3 0.9 0.4 0.2 0.5 3.0 9.9 -147 23 -6.4 -10.5 41.6 41.9 90.9 -2.39 136.9 56.2
Jonathan Milligan Jonathan Milligan G 30 18.3 5.4 1.2 1.6 0.3 0.0 1.3 1.4 5.8 -60 23 -2.6 -6.3 37.2 0.0 76.2 -0.26 154.1 37.2
Terrell Brown Terrell Brown F 29 16.8 4.3 3.3 0.5 0.2 1.4 0.9 1.9 6.9 -113 21 -5.4 -12.5 46.4 12.5 75.0 -0.34 101.2 47.3
Kham Davis Kham Davis G 30 23.9 4.2 2.6 1.0 0.6 0.5 1.1 1.1 6.7 -142 23 -6.2 -11.2 30.3 21.1 75.0 -0.5 182.7 36.4
Kene Chukwuka Kene Chukwuka F 29 16.5 2.4 2.7 0.8 0.6 0.4 0.9 1.1 4.9 -81 21 -3.9 -9.4 38.7 25.0 0.0 -0.34 108.2 45.2
Monty Boykins Monty Boykins G 18 5.9 1.5 0.5 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3 0.6 1.3 -37 15 -2.5 -17.6 0.0 0.0 50.0 -3.72 99.9 0.0
Anthony Starzynski Anthony Starzynski G 4 1.2 0.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.5 - - - - 0 0 0 -2.26 0 0
Samson George Samson George F 12 4.0 0.8 0.9 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.4 4 9 0.4 5.1 25.0 0 0 -0.3 112.5 25.0
Peace Ilegomah Peace Ilegomah C 22 5.8 0.7 0.9 0.1 0.0 0.4 0.5 0.0 1.6 -45 14 -3.2 -24.7 0.0 0 25.0 -4.94 289.9 0.0
Zach Smith Zach Smith G 8 1.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4 -0.1 -13 5 -2.6 -63.9 0.0 0.0 0 -2.08 0.0 0.0
Joe Mascaro Joe Mascaro G 4 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 - - - - 0 0 0 -2.16 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG