Model Predictions
| Model | Penn State Nittany Lions | Pittsburgh Panthers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 89.4% | 10.6% | -17.1 | ✓ (13.9 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 82.4% | 17.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 93.6% | 6.4% | -14.8 | ✓ (16.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 81.4% | 18.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 95.1% | 4.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 95.2% | 4.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 78.5% | 21.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Pittsburgh Panthers -31 (54-85). Ratings: 2017-18 season-end ratings.
Penn State Nittany Lions
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lamar Stevens * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 21 | - |
| Tony Carr * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 26 | - |
| Shep Garner * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 17 | - |
| Mike Watkins * | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 13 | 21 | - |
| Josh Reaves * | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 16 | - |
| Nazeer Bostick | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 20 | - |
| Jamari Wheeler | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | - |
| Julian Moore | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Deivis Zemgulis | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| John Harrar | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Trent Buttrick | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
Pittsburgh Panthers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Luther * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 16 | - |
| Jared Wilson-Frame * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 18 | - |
| Kham Davis * | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Jonathan Milligan * | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 11 | - |
| Terrell Brown * | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Marcus Carr | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Parker Stewart | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Kene Chukwuka | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - |
| Shamiel Stevenson | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Monty Boykins | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Peace Ilegomah | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Samson George | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
* = starter