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Oregon

Also known as: Oregon Ducks, Oregon
Program History

2011 Team Stats (9 games)

75.4
PPG
79.9
Opp
-4.4
Margin
42.1%
FG%
34.7%
3P%
75.2%
FT%
32.1
RPG
14.7
APG
11.6
TO
-
Est. poss./game
69.9
Adj PPG
65.9
Adj Opp PPG
#103
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2010-2011
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 1195 (#67) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 1044 (#135) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +91 elo More โ†’ 1062 (#80) HCA +91 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.0 More โ†’ +4.7 (#96) HCA +3.0
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.8 More โ†’ +6.5 (#85) HCA +2.8
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.493 (#164) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +9.3 More โ†’ 0.745 (#85) AdjNet +9.3
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +9.4 More โ†’ 0.748 (#85) AdjNet +9.4
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 69.9 | AdjD 65.9 More โ†’ 0.591 (#103) AdjO 69.9 | AdjD 65.9
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 69.2 | AdjD 66.0 More โ†’ 0.572 (#99) AdjO 69.2 | AdjD 66.0
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.674 (#80) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.671 (#79) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 85 | GP 35 More โ†’ 1130 (#80) RD 85 | GP 35

2011 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2010-11-12 vs North Dakota State Bison W 97 - 92
2010-11-13 vs Denver Pioneers W 68 - 56
2010-11-14 vs UC Santa Barbara Gauchos W 72 - 70
2010-11-20 vs San Josรฉ State Spartans L 72 - 75
2010-11-23 vs Texas Southern Tigers W 75 - 52
2010-11-27 vs Duke Blue Devils L 71 - 98
2010-12-02 vs Missouri Tigers L 80 - 83
2010-12-05 vs Portland State Vikings W 68 - 49
2010-12-11 vs Willamette Bearcats W 100 - 67
2010-12-13 vs Jacksonville State Gamecocks W 74 - 56
2010-12-17 @ Virginia Cavaliers L 48 - 63
2010-12-21 vs Idaho Vandals L 65 - 69
2010-12-30 vs Arizona Wildcats L 57 - 76
2011-01-01 vs Arizona State Sun Devils L 55 - 60
2011-01-06 @ Washington Huskies L 69 - 87
2011-01-08 @ Washington State Cougars L 63 - 77
2011-01-13 vs USC Trojans W 68 - 62
2011-01-15 vs UCLA Bruins L 59 - 67
2011-01-22 @ Oregon State Beavers W 63 - 59
2011-01-27 @ Stanford Cardinal W 67 - 59
2011-01-29 @ California Golden Bears L 77 - 85
2011-02-03 vs Washington State Cougars W 69 - 43
2011-02-05 vs Washington Huskies W 81 - 76
2011-02-10 @ UCLA Bruins L 54 - 64
2011-02-12 @ USC Trojans W 61 - 51
2011-02-19 vs Oregon State Beavers W 82 - 63
2011-02-24 vs California Golden Bears L 71 - 81
2011-02-26 vs Stanford Cardinal L 71 - 88
2011-03-03 @ Arizona State Sun Devils L 53 - 73
2011-03-05 @ Arizona Wildcats L 82 - 90
2011-03-09 vs Arizona State Sun Devils W 76 - 69
2011-03-10 @ UCLA Bruins W 76 - 59
2011-03-11 @ Washington Huskies L 51 - 69
2011-03-16 vs Weber State Wildcats W 68 - 59
2011-03-21 vs Duquesne Dukes W 77 - 75
2011-03-23 vs Boise State Broncos W 79 - 71
2011-03-28 @ Creighton Bluejays L 76 - 84
2011-03-30 vs Creighton Bluejays W 71 - 58
2011-04-01 vs Creighton Bluejays W 71 - 69

2011 Roster

Minutes by Position

Each player's share of the team's minutes per game (season minutes over the roster's), placed by position, so every column is one game's minutes. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Joevan Catron Joevan Catron F 24 29.3 17.1 6.9 1.7 1.4 0.4 2.4 6.5 18.5 59 34 1.7 2.6 47.1 29.2 67.2 3.65 98.2 49.4
E.J. Singler E.J. Singler F 26 31.9 12.3 5.3 1.9 1.0 0.7 1.6 5.2 14.4 54 35 1.5 2.1 50.0 51.7 84.3 2.74 101.0 61.4
J. Strowbridge J. Strowbridge G 26 25.8 10.3 2.5 1.0 0.5 0.2 1.0 4.6 8.8 -29 35 -0.8 -1.4 40.8 33.3 82.1 -0.72 101.3 49.2
Malcolm Armstead Malcolm Armstead G 26 27.5 9.2 3.2 4.6 2.3 0.0 2.6 4.7 12.0 43 34 1.3 1.9 38.5 29.4 80.0 1.49 91.4 42.6
Garrett Sim Garrett Sim G 26 26.8 7.9 2.2 1.8 0.7 0.1 1.0 3.7 8.0 5 35 0.1 0.2 46.3 40.0 75.0 0.72 99.2 57.9
Jeremy Jacob Jeremy Jacob F 6 15.3 6.7 3.3 0.2 0.5 0.5 0.8 5.7 4.7 -23 14 -1.6 -4.6 44.1 0 50.0 -0.35 55.9 44.1
Tyrone Nared Tyrone Nared F 26 22.1 5.6 4.0 0.5 0.5 0.8 1.1 2.5 7.8 -104 35 -3.0 -6.4 45.5 36.4 68.2 -1.73 95.8 48.5
Johnathan Loyd Johnathan Loyd G 26 18.8 4.7 1.7 2.6 0.9 0.0 1.3 2.5 6.0 -78 35 -2.2 -5.2 27.3 23.1 78.9 -1.74 73.7 31.8
Teondre Williams Teondre Williams G 25 14.7 4.4 1.7 0.4 0.6 0.4 0.7 2.7 4.2 3 33 0.1 0.3 41.8 48.4 61.5 1.57 75.6 53.0
Matt Losli Matt Losli G 5 1.2 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.0 0.2 10 10 1.0 31.8 0 0 0 1.74 0 0
Nicholas Fearn Nicholas Fearn G 17 4.1 0.1 1.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3 0.2 0.8 -54 23 -2.3 -25.9 25.0 0.0 0 -5.73 25.0 25.0
Martin Seiferth Martin Seiferth F 4 2.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.0 0.5 0.0 -25 9 -2.8 -37.7 0.0 0 0 -3.29 0.0 0.0
Nicholas Lucenti Nicholas Lucenti G 2 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - 0 0 0 -1.01 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG