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2011-01-22

Model Predictions

Model Oregon Ducks Oregon State Beavers Spread Result
Elo 62.4% 37.6% -
Bradley-Terry 58.8% 41.2% -
Margin 70.4% 29.6% -4.8 (0.8 off)
Pythagorean 57.6% 42.4% -
Efficiency 52.2% 47.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 66.7% 33.3% -
Log Adjusted 66.6% 33.4% -

Actual: Oregon State Beavers -4 (59-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Oregon Ducks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
E.J. Singler * 35 5-14 4-7 2-4 6 2 1 1 2 16 10 -
J. Catron * 30 3-4 0-0 2-3 6 1 0 0 4 8 7 -
G. Sim * 27 6-10 3-7 0-0 3 2 0 0 2 15 8 -
J. Loyd * 26 1-3 0-1 0-1 2 6 1 0 3 2 5 -
T. Nared * 18 1-1 0-0 0-0 4 2 0 0 2 2 5 -
M. Armstead 24 0-3 0-1 0-0 3 2 2 0 0 0 4 -
J. Strowbridge 24 6-9 1-4 2-3 2 1 0 0 1 15 8 -
T. Williams 10 2-4 1-3 0-0 3 1 0 1 1 5 5 -
N. Fearn 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -

Oregon State Beavers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Cunningham * 29 2-7 1-4 4-4 6 5 2 0 0 9 15 -
D. Collier * 26 2-3 0-0 4-4 3 1 0 1 1 8 9 -
R. Nelson * 22 5-14 1-6 0-0 3 1 0 0 3 11 -2 -
A. Brandt * 17 2-3 0-0 1-4 1 0 0 0 0 5 3 -
O. Johnson * 15 2-3 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 4 1 -
J. Burton 26 2-5 0-0 3-4 7 0 1 1 3 7 8 -
L. Wallace 22 5-10 3-6 2-2 5 2 0 0 1 15 11 -
C. Haynes 22 0-4 0-1 0-0 2 1 4 0 1 0 2 -
A. Starks 15 0-3 0-2 0-0 2 4 0 0 2 0 1 -
K. McShane 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter