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2011-03-03

Model Predictions

Model Oregon Ducks Arizona State Sun Devils Spread Result
Elo 33.7% 66.3% -
Bradley-Terry 53.7% 46.3% -
Margin 63.7% 36.3% -3.1 (23.1 off)
Pythagorean 62.7% 37.3% -
Efficiency 88.8% 11.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 79.4% 20.6% -
Log Adjusted 79.4% 20.6% -

Actual: Arizona State Sun Devils +20 (73-53). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Oregon Ducks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
E.J. Singler * 31 2-8 2-6 2-2 10 2 1 1 3 8 11 -
G. Sim * 29 4-7 2-4 0-0 1 4 0 0 3 10 5 -
J. Catron * 23 1-8 0-1 3-8 7 0 2 0 4 5 2 -
T. Nared * 22 1-3 0-0 1-1 4 0 0 1 1 3 4 -
J. Loyd * 15 0-2 0-1 0-0 2 4 0 0 1 0 3 -
M. Armstead 31 2-6 1-3 2-4 6 2 3 0 1 7 11 -
J. Strowbridge 27 5-16 4-11 3-4 3 0 0 0 1 17 3 -
T. Williams 19 1-4 1-3 0-0 1 0 2 1 1 3 2 -
N. Fearn 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

Arizona State Sun Devils

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Abbott * 38 7-14 6-12 2-3 4 5 1 0 1 22 17 -
J. McMillan * 36 3-6 3-6 2-2 0 6 3 0 2 11 12 -
T. Lockett * 27 3-5 0-1 1-3 4 3 1 2 5 7 7 -
K. Cain * 18 4-5 0-0 0-0 8 0 0 1 1 8 11 -
C. Creekmur * 10 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 0 -1 -
R. Kuksiks 31 7-15 7-15 1-2 4 2 0 0 1 22 12 -
R. Pateev 16 0-1 0-0 0-0 4 1 1 1 2 0 4 -
K. King 10 0-2 0-1 1-2 3 3 1 0 2 1 4 -
C. Felix 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 1 0 0 -
J. Bachynski 6 1-3 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 1 0 2 6 -
C. Hawkins 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 2 -

* = starter