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2011-03-10

Model Predictions

Model Oregon Ducks UCLA Bruins Spread Result
Elo 26.8% 73.2% -
Bradley-Terry 44.5% 55.5% -
Margin 28.0% 72.0% +5.2 (22.2 off)
Pythagorean 37.0% 63.0% -
Efficiency 8.3% 91.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 38.3% 61.7% -
Log Adjusted 38.5% 61.5% -

Actual: UCLA Bruins -17 (59-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Oregon Ducks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
E.J. Singler * 35 7-9 2-2 8-8 7 0 3 1 1 24 25 -
G. Sim * 30 4-9 2-4 0-0 3 1 0 1 0 10 6 -
J. Catron * 28 2-7 0-1 5-6 3 1 0 1 3 9 4 -
M. Armstead * 27 6-9 1-1 0-0 6 5 2 0 2 13 15 -
T. Nared * 25 2-4 0-0 1-2 4 0 3 1 1 5 8 -
J. Strowbridge 23 3-7 0-3 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 6 1 -
T. Williams 19 2-8 0-2 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 4 -1 -
J. Loyd 12 1-2 0-0 3-5 2 2 0 0 1 5 6 -
N. Fearn 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

UCLA Bruins

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Honeycutt * 39 5-13 1-5 8-8 7 1 1 1 2 19 14 -
L. Jones * 31 3-11 1-4 0-0 1 4 1 0 3 7 -1 -
R. Nelson * 28 3-9 0-0 1-2 10 1 1 1 3 7 8 -
M. Lee * 28 2-3 1-1 1-2 4 0 0 0 2 6 5 -
A. Stover * 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Anderson 27 3-7 1-2 1-6 3 1 0 0 0 8 5 -
J. Smith 20 1-6 0-0 3-4 6 0 2 2 1 5 8 -
T. Lamb 20 2-5 0-1 3-3 2 0 0 0 0 7 4 -
B. Lane 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 2 -
B. Arnet 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter