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2011-03-05

Model Predictions

Model Oregon Ducks Arizona Wildcats Spread Result
Elo 6.1% 93.9% -
Bradley-Terry 94.5% 5.5% -
Margin 14.9% 85.1% +9.6 (1.6 off)
Pythagorean 37.1% 62.9% -
Efficiency 16.9% 83.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 16.7% 83.3% -
Log Adjusted 16.7% 83.3% -

Actual: Arizona Wildcats +8 (90-82). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Oregon Ducks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
G. Sim * 35 6-11 2-6 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 14 4 -
M. Armstead * 34 5-10 0-3 2-2 2 11 2 0 3 12 14 -
E.J. Singler * 33 1-4 0-1 2-2 8 2 1 0 1 4 10 -
J. Catron * 24 9-15 4-7 6-10 4 2 2 0 1 28 20 -
J. Loyd * 11 2-3 0-1 0-0 2 3 0 0 0 4 6 -
T. Nared 25 2-2 0-0 1-2 4 0 0 0 0 5 7 -
J. Strowbridge 24 2-9 1-4 2-2 2 1 1 0 1 7 1 -
T. Williams 10 3-3 2-2 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 8 6 -
N. Fearn 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

Arizona Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Fogg * 35 4-7 4-7 8-8 2 3 0 1 2 20 17 -
L. Jones * 29 3-7 0-3 1-2 3 4 1 0 1 7 7 -
D. Williams * 22 5-7 1-2 3-4 5 2 1 0 3 14 12 -
J. Horne * 20 3-5 2-3 2-2 1 1 0 0 0 10 7 -
J. Perry * 13 1-3 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 2 2 2 -
S. Hill 27 6-10 0-3 2-4 4 2 0 1 0 14 11 -
K. Parrom 23 2-4 2-3 5-6 4 5 0 1 0 11 17 -
K. Natyazhko 14 2-2 0-0 2-2 4 1 0 0 1 6 8 -
J. Mayes 12 1-3 1-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 3 1 -
B. Lavender 5 1-2 1-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 3 3 -

* = starter