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2011-03-28

Model Predictions

Model Oregon Ducks Creighton Bluejays Spread Result
Elo 23.1% 76.9% -
Bradley-Terry 46.8% 53.2% -
Margin 32.3% 67.7% +4.1 (3.9 off)
Pythagorean 41.7% 58.3% -
Efficiency 15.3% 84.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 70.9% 29.1% -
Log Adjusted 70.7% 29.3% -

Actual: Creighton Bluejays +8 (84-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Oregon Ducks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
E.J. Singler * 34 0-0 0-0 0-0 10 3 1 0 0 10 24 -
G. Sim * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 1 1 14 16 -
J. Catron * 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 9 3 0 0 4 15 23 -
J. Loyd * 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 5 1 0 0 10 16 -
T. Nared * 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 4 6 -
J. Strowbridge 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 14 17 -
M. Armstead 21 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 5 1 0 2 9 15 -
T. Williams 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

Creighton Bluejays

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Manigat * 37 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 7 4 0 3 11 22 -
A. Young * 36 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 8 0 0 4 9 16 -
D. McDermott * 34 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 1 2 21 25 -
G. Echenique * 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 9 0 0 4 0 15 28 -
K. Korver * 21 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 2 0 0 2 6 11 -
J. Jones 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 11 12 -
K. Lawson Jr. 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 0 0 9 14 -
D. Ashford 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 1 2 5 -
W. Runnels 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter