Model Predictions
| Model | Boise State Broncos | Oregon Ducks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 42.4% | 57.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 23.6% | 76.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 22.8% | 77.2% | +6.7 | ✓ (1.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.1% | 55.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 9.2% | 90.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 20.0% | 80.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 19.6% | 80.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Oregon Ducks +8 (79-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Boise State Broncos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Arnold * | 35 | 8-13 | 3-5 | 5-7 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 24 | 20 | - |
| L. Anderson * | 27 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 10 | 0 | - |
| D. Montreal * | 18 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | - |
| J. Elorriaga * | 16 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | - |
| R. Watkins * | 10 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| P. Noonan | 30 | 2-6 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | - |
| T. Bropleh | 19 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| W. Perryman | 17 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | - |
| T. Nichols | 14 | 6-11 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 8 | - |
| Z. Moritz | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| S. Imadiyi | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Salzwedel | 2 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
Oregon Ducks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Nared * | 32 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
| M. Armstead * | 32 | 4-9 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 10 | - |
| E.J. Singler * | 30 | 7-11 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 18 | 11 | - |
| J. Catron * | 29 | 6-15 | 0-3 | 12-14 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 24 | 22 | - |
| G. Sim * | 28 | 3-3 | 2-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 9 | - |
| J. Strowbridge | 17 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| J. Loyd | 16 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| T. Williams | 16 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | - |
* = starter