🐻⬇️🏀

North Carolina

Also known as: North Carolina Tar Heels
Program History

2024 Team Stats (37 games)

81.9
PPG
70.5
Opp
+11.4
Margin
45.0%
FG%
35.9%
3P%
75.9%
FT%
41.1
RPG
14.5
APG
10.1
TO
82.9
Pace

Model Outputs

2023-2024
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1312 (#44) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1430 (#18) -
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.7 More → +40.6 (#18) HCA +2.7
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.803 (#7) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +15.9 More → 0.850 (#16) NetEff +15.9
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +18.1 More → 0.889 (#5) AdjNet +18.1
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +18.2 More → 0.891 (#5) AdjNet +18.2

2024 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2023-11-06 vs Radford Highlanders W 86 - 70
2023-11-12 vs Lehigh Mountain Hawks W 90 - 68
2023-11-17 vs UC Riverside Highlanders W 77 - 52
2023-11-22 vs Northern Iowa Panthers W 91 - 69
2023-11-23 vs Villanova Wildcats L 81 - 83
2023-11-24 vs Arkansas Razorbacks W 87 - 72
2023-11-29 vs Tennessee Volunteers W 100 - 92
2023-12-02 vs Florida State Seminoles W 78 - 70
2023-12-05 @ UConn Huskies L 76 - 87
2023-12-16 @ Kentucky Wildcats L 83 - 87
2023-12-20 @ Oklahoma Sooners W 81 - 69
2023-12-29 vs Charleston Southern Buccaneers W 105 - 60
2024-01-02 @ Pittsburgh Panthers W 70 - 57
2024-01-06 @ Clemson Tigers W 65 - 55
2024-01-10 @ NC State Wolfpack W 67 - 54
2024-01-13 vs Syracuse Orange W 103 - 67
2024-01-17 vs Louisville Cardinals W 86 - 70
2024-01-20 @ Boston College Eagles W 76 - 66
2024-01-22 vs Wake Forest Demon Deacons W 85 - 64
2024-01-27 @ Florida State Seminoles W 75 - 68
2024-01-30 @ Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets L 73 - 74
2024-02-03 vs Duke Blue Devils W 93 - 84
2024-02-06 vs Clemson Tigers L 76 - 80
2024-02-10 @ Miami Hurricanes W 75 - 72
2024-02-13 @ Syracuse Orange L 79 - 86
2024-02-17 vs Virginia Tech Hokies W 96 - 81
2024-02-24 @ Virginia Cavaliers W 54 - 44
2024-02-26 vs Miami Hurricanes W 75 - 71
2024-03-02 vs NC State Wolfpack W 79 - 70
2024-03-05 vs Notre Dame Fighting Irish W 84 - 51
2024-03-09 @ Duke Blue Devils W 84 - 79
2024-03-14 vs Florida State Seminoles W 92 - 67
2024-03-15 vs Pittsburgh Panthers W 72 - 65
2024-03-16 vs NC State Wolfpack L 76 - 84
2024-03-21 vs Wagner Seahawks W 90 - 62
2024-03-23 vs Michigan State Spartans W 85 - 69
2024-03-28 vs Alabama Crimson Tide L 87 - 89

2024 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
RJ Davis RJ Davis - 37 34.8 21.2 3.6 3.5 1.2 0.2 1.5 16.4 11.8 96 7.4 10.8 42.8 39.8 87.3 0.77 57.4 52.1
A. Bacot A. Bacot - 37 30.3 14.5 10.3 1.5 0.6 1.5 1.6 9.7 17.1 129 10.8 16.5 54.0 40.0 78.1 1.34 61.0 54.6
Harrison Ingram Harrison Ingram - 37 32.8 12.2 8.8 2.2 1.4 0.4 1.4 10.2 13.4 95 7.9 10.9 43.0 38.5 61.2 0.7 53.4 51.6
C. Ryan C. Ryan - 36 30.3 11.5 2.8 1.2 0.7 0.4 1.2 9.3 6.2 140 11.7 17.2 38.2 35.4 87.4 1.3 54.9 49.4
E. Cadeau E. Cadeau - 37 23.9 7.3 2.2 4.1 0.8 0.1 1.8 6.5 6.1 35 1.5 5.8 41.7 18.9 64.8 1.26 48.0 43.8
S. Trimble S. Trimble - 35 17.1 5.2 2.1 0.9 0.4 0.2 0.6 3.8 4.4 36 1.5 8.5 47.0 41.9 66.7 0.14 56.2 51.9
J. Withers J. Withers - 37 12.4 4.2 3.6 0.6 0.4 0.5 0.7 2.7 5.9 44 3.4 15.2 53.5 20.0 78.0 0.42 62.4 55.6
J. Washington J. Washington - 37 8.4 3.9 2.6 0.2 0.1 0.6 0.4 2.1 4.8 -2 -0.2 -0.9 70.1 53.3 64.3 -0.13 74.9 75.3
P. Wojcik P. Wojcik - 32 8.3 1.6 1.0 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.3 1.5 1.3 10 1.1 7.8 34.0 23.3 70.6 -0.0 46.8 41.5
R. Landry R. Landry - 7 1.7 1.1 0.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.7 1.0 -3 -0.8 -16.0 60.0 66.7 0 -0.03 80.0 80.0
J. Okonkwo J. Okonkwo F 15 2.9 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.2 0.6 1.5 -9 -1.8 -38.4 55.6 0 100.0 -0.15 67.0 55.6
Z. High Z. High - 23 4.5 0.8 1.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.4 0.8 1.2 -1 -0.2 -3.8 31.6 0.0 66.7 0.01 39.2 31.6
D. Farris D. Farris - 8 1.8 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.1 -3 -0.8 -16.0 25.0 0 0 -0.03 25.0 25.0
W. Shaver W. Shaver C 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - 3 0.4 8.3 - - - -0.05 - -
T. Nickel T. Nickel F 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - 37 1.3 7.0 - - - 0.05 - -
C. Lebo C. Lebo - 9 2.4 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 1.0 -0.4 0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0.04 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG