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2023-12-16

Model Predictions

Model North Carolina Tar Heels Kentucky Wildcats Spread Result
Elo 32.2% 67.8% -
Bradley-Terry 44.6% 55.4% -
Margin 33.8% 66.2% +3.7 (0.3 off)
Pythagorean 50.9% 49.1% -
Efficiency 60.2% 39.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 71.0% 29.0% -
Log Adjusted 71.1% 28.9% -

Actual: Kentucky Wildcats +4 (87-83). Predictions use season-end ratings.

North Carolina Tar Heels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
RJ Davis * 38 8-18 3-9 8-9 7 4 0 0 5 27 15 -
H. Ingram * 34 4-10 0-3 2-4 4 3 3 2 1 10 11 -
C. Ryan * 33 8-12 4-7 0-0 4 0 1 0 2 20 11 -
A. Bacot * 31 3-4 0-0 3-4 6 0 1 1 6 9 7 -
E. Cadeau * 18 1-2 0-0 1-2 1 3 0 0 2 3 3 -
J. Withers 19 1-4 0-2 2-2 3 2 2 2 1 4 8 -
S. Trimble 16 1-4 1-2 3-4 3 0 0 0 0 6 5 -
J. Washington 8 0-2 0-1 2-2 1 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
P. Wojcik 2 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
Z. High 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

Kentucky Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D.J. Wagner * 35 6-14 2-4 0-1 6 5 1 0 2 14 10 -
T. Mitchell * 33 3-5 1-3 1-2 5 2 0 0 2 8 8 -
A. Reeves * 23 2-9 1-3 4-4 4 1 1 1 1 9 6 -
A. Bradshaw * 21 4-6 1-1 3-5 3 0 2 0 2 12 9 -
J. Edwards * 13 3-9 0-1 2-2 6 1 0 0 1 8 5 -
R. Sheppard 25 4-9 1-3 2-2 6 2 2 1 3 11 10 -
R. Dillingham 25 6-16 1-6 4-6 3 1 1 0 1 17 5 -
A. Thiero 16 2-4 1-2 2-2 1 2 0 4 1 7 9 -
U. Onyenso 9 0-0 0-0 1-2 1 1 0 3 0 1 6 -

* = starter