Model Predictions
| Model | North Carolina Tar Heels | Kentucky Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 32.2% | 67.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 44.6% | 55.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 33.8% | 66.2% | +3.7 | ✓ (0.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.9% | 49.1% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 60.2% | 39.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 71.0% | 29.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 71.1% | 28.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Kentucky Wildcats +4 (87-83). Predictions use season-end ratings.
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RJ Davis * | 38 | 8-18 | 3-9 | 8-9 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 27 | 15 | - |
| H. Ingram * | 34 | 4-10 | 0-3 | 2-4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 11 | - |
| C. Ryan * | 33 | 8-12 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 11 | - |
| A. Bacot * | 31 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 9 | 7 | - |
| E. Cadeau * | 18 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | - |
| J. Withers | 19 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 8 | - |
| S. Trimble | 16 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| J. Washington | 8 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| P. Wojcik | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Z. High | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Kentucky Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D.J. Wagner * | 35 | 6-14 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 10 | - |
| T. Mitchell * | 33 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 8 | - |
| A. Reeves * | 23 | 2-9 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 6 | - |
| A. Bradshaw * | 21 | 4-6 | 1-1 | 3-5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 9 | - |
| J. Edwards * | 13 | 3-9 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | - |
| R. Sheppard | 25 | 4-9 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 10 | - |
| R. Dillingham | 25 | 6-16 | 1-6 | 4-6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 5 | - |
| A. Thiero | 16 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 9 | - |
| U. Onyenso | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | - |
* = starter