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2024-01-27

Model Predictions

Model North Carolina Tar Heels Florida State Seminoles Spread Result
Elo 73.9% 26.1% -
Bradley-Terry 68.1% 31.9% -
Margin 76.0% 24.0% -6.3 (0.7 off)
Pythagorean 62.5% 37.5% -
Efficiency 88.2% 11.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 89.2% 10.8% -
Log Adjusted 89.3% 10.7% -

Actual: Florida State Seminoles -7 (68-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.

North Carolina Tar Heels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
RJ Davis * 35 9-18 2-8 4-5 3 1 1 0 4 24 7 -
A. Bacot * 34 2-4 0-0 1-2 4 2 1 1 2 5 7 -
H. Ingram * 33 4-8 3-4 2-2 17 1 3 1 3 13 24 -
C. Ryan * 31 3-9 3-8 1-2 5 0 0 0 1 10 5 -
E. Cadeau * 28 4-12 0-1 8-9 2 6 0 0 3 16 9 -
S. Trimble 16 0-3 0-0 3-4 2 1 0 0 1 3 2 -
J. Withers 10 0-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Washington 6 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
P. Wojcik 5 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 2 1 -
Z. High 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 0 -1 -

Florida State Seminoles

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Da. Green Jr. * 32 5-10 2-5 0-1 4 1 1 0 0 12 8 -
J. Watkins * 29 3-12 2-4 4-5 3 2 3 1 6 12 3 -
B. Miller * 23 1-4 1-2 0-2 6 1 0 2 1 3 7 -
D. Green * 17 1-3 0-1 0-0 3 0 2 0 1 2 3 -
J. Warley * 15 2-4 0-0 0-1 0 2 0 0 1 4 1 -
P. Spears 31 6-15 3-4 0-0 4 3 1 0 4 15 4 -
C. Corhen 14 2-3 0-0 0-0 4 1 1 0 0 4 7 -
T.B. Bowen 13 2-4 0-2 0-0 3 0 2 0 0 4 5 -
C. Jackson 10 4-5 1-2 1-2 1 0 1 0 1 10 6 -
J. Gainey 9 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
J. Nickelberry 7 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 -
T. House 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter