Model Predictions
| Model | North Carolina Tar Heels | Pittsburgh Panthers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 57.7% | 42.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 58.8% | 41.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 57.6% | 42.4% | -1.7 | ✓ (11.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 55.1% | 44.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 61.7% | 38.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 80.7% | 19.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 80.9% | 19.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Pittsburgh Panthers -13 (57-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RJ Davis * | 36 | 6-16 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 4 | - |
| H. Ingram * | 35 | 2-14 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 13 | - |
| A. Bacot * | 35 | 5-10 | 0-1 | 6-6 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 16 | 20 | - |
| C. Ryan * | 32 | 3-9 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 10 | - |
| E. Cadeau * | 15 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | - |
| S. Trimble | 23 | 3-7 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 10 | - |
| J. Withers | 12 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | - |
| J. Washington | 8 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| P. Wojcik | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Pittsburgh Panthers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Carrington * | 36 | 6-17 | 2-8 | 6-7 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 8 | - |
| I. Leggett * | 32 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| B. Hinson * | 31 | 4-16 | 2-11 | 1-3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | -2 | - |
| G. Diaz Graham * | 25 | 4-11 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Z. Austin * | 20 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| J. Lowe | 25 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 6 | - |
| F. Federiko | 15 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| J. Diaz Graham | 12 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| W. Jeffress | 4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter