Model Predictions
| Model | NC State Wolfpack | North Carolina Tar Heels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 28.9% | 71.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 31.8% | 68.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 21.9% | 78.1% | +7.0 | ✗ (15.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 37.4% | 62.6% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 15.9% | 84.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 14.1% | 85.9% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 14.0% | 86.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels -8 (76-84). Predictions use season-end ratings.
NC State Wolfpack
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. O'Connell * | 36 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 5-6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 6 | -5.5 |
| C. Morsell * | 34 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 8 | +15.1 |
| DJ Horne * | 32 | 9-15 | 2-6 | 9-11 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 29 | 19 | +17.9 |
| M. Diarra * | 31 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 14 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 23 | - |
| DJ Burns Jr. * | 28 | 9-12 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 17 | -6.8 |
| J. Taylor | 22 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | +4.8 |
| B. Middlebrooks | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | +2.8 |
| B. Pass | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | +0.9 |
| E. Ross | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| KJ Keatts | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.9 |
| J. Snell | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.9 |
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RJ Davis * | 36 | 10-26 | 4-13 | 6-8 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 30 | 16 | -17.2 |
| A. Bacot * | 34 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 22 | -15.2 |
| C. Ryan * | 34 | 2-7 | 1-5 | 3-3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 2 | -3.0 |
| H. Ingram * | 34 | 3-11 | 3-9 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 3 | -12.3 |
| E. Cadeau * | 29 | 2-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 8 | -6.1 |
| S. Trimble | 16 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | -11.0 |
| J. Withers | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | -0.7 |
| J. Washington | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter