Model Predictions
| Model | Florida State Seminoles | North Carolina Tar Heels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 15.0% | 85.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 20.9% | 79.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 10.5% | 89.5% | +11.8 | ✓ (3.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 31.5% | 68.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 5.8% | 94.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 4.8% | 95.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 4.7% | 95.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels +8 (78-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Florida State Seminoles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Da. Green Jr. * | 35 | 4-10 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 7 | - |
| J. Watkins * | 32 | 7-14 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 11 | - |
| D. Green * | 28 | 5-9 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 8 | - |
| B. Miller * | 25 | 5-8 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 10 | - |
| J. Warley * | 22 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
| C. Jackson | 18 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | - |
| C. Fletcher | 15 | 1-6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3 | - |
| J. Gainey | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| J. Nickelberry | 12 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| T. House | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RJ Davis * | 38 | 8-17 | 3-9 | 8-8 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 27 | 18 | - |
| H. Ingram * | 37 | 3-11 | 0-4 | 5-7 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 9 | - |
| C. Ryan * | 32 | 2-9 | 2-7 | 2-3 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 5 | - |
| A. Bacot * | 32 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 13 | 21 | - |
| E. Cadeau * | 27 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 8 | - |
| S. Trimble | 14 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 7 | - |
| J. Washington | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| J. Withers | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - |
| P. Wojcik | 4 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Z. High | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter