Model Predictions
| Model | Arkansas Razorbacks | North Carolina Tar Heels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 41.4% | 58.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 29.4% | 70.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 16.9% | 83.1% | +8.7 | ✓ (6.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 21.6% | 78.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 2.7% | 97.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels +15 (87-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Arkansas Razorbacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Mark * | 33 | 13-17 | 4-6 | 4-7 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 34 | 22 | - |
| L. Blocker * | 29 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 11 | - |
| D. Davis * | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| T. Brazile * | 20 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | -2 | - |
| M. Mitchell * | 11 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | - |
| J. Davenport | 25 | 3-8 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 2 | - |
| C. Lawson | 19 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| K. Battle | 18 | 3-7 | 0-3 | 3-3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 6 | - |
| El Ellis | 17 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| B. Fall | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| J. Pinion | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| D. Harris | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H. Ingram * | 40 | 5-10 | 0-2 | 3-5 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 19 | - |
| RJ Davis * | 35 | 9-18 | 2-5 | 10-10 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 30 | 16 | - |
| A. Bacot * | 28 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 3 | - |
| E. Cadeau * | 26 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 2-4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 7 | - |
| J. Withers * | 16 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| S. Trimble | 25 | 4-5 | 2-2 | 2-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 10 | - |
| P. Wojcik | 20 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -2 | - |
| J. Washington | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4-7 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 9 | - |
* = starter