Model Predictions
| Model | Duke Blue Devils | North Carolina Tar Heels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 68.2% | 31.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 52.3% | 47.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 61.1% | 38.9% | -2.5 | ✗ (11.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.2% | 53.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 54.9% | 45.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 38.4% | 61.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 38.4% | 61.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels +9 (93-84). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. McCain * | 38 | 9-18 | 2-6 | 3-3 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 18 | - |
| M. Mitchell * | 37 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 16 | - |
| J. Roach * | 37 | 9-16 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 7 | - |
| K. Filipowski * | 31 | 9-17 | 1-6 | 3-5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 22 | 9 | - |
| T. Proctor * | 26 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| C. Foster | 19 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | - |
| R. Young | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
| S. Stewart | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RJ Davis * | 38 | 5-14 | 2-3 | 5-6 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 11 | - |
| H. Ingram * | 38 | 8-12 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 13 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 27 | - |
| A. Bacot * | 36 | 10-13 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 10 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 25 | 25 | - |
| C. Ryan * | 32 | 3-7 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 9 | - |
| E. Cadeau * | 23 | 1-9 | 0-4 | 5-7 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | - |
| S. Trimble | 19 | 5-9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 6 | - |
| J. Withers | 10 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| J. Washington | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter