🐻⬇️🏀

North Carolina

Also known as: North Carolina Tar Heels
Program History

2020 Team Stats (13 games)

69.3
PPG
71.5
Opp
-1.6
Margin
40.9%
FG%
28.1%
3P%
62.6%
FT%
42.8
RPG
13.0
APG
13.0
TO
84.8
Pace

Model Outputs

2019-2020
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1454 (#43) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1477 (#30) -
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.7 More → +38.4 (#22) HCA +2.7
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.264 (#73) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -13.1 More → 0.179 (#65) NetEff -13.1
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -4.1 More → 0.383 (#75) AdjNet -4.1
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -4.1 More → 0.385 (#75) AdjNet -4.1

2020 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2019-11-06 vs Notre Dame Fighting Irish W 76 - 65
2019-11-08 @ UNC Wilmington Seahawks W 78 - 62
2019-11-15 vs Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs W 77 - 61
2019-11-20 vs Elon Phoenix W 75 - 61
2019-11-28 @ Michigan Wolverines L 64 - 73
2019-12-08 @ Virginia Cavaliers L 47 - 56
2019-12-15 vs Wofford Terriers L 64 - 68
2019-12-18 @ Gonzaga Bulldogs L 81 - 94
2020-02-03 @ Florida State Seminoles L 59 - 65
2020-02-08 vs Duke Blue Devils L 96 - 98
2020-02-22 @ Louisville Cardinals L 55 - 72
2020-03-07 @ Duke Blue Devils L 76 - 89
2020-03-10 @ Virginia Tech Hokies W 78 - 56
2020-03-11 @ Syracuse Orange L 53 - 81

2020 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
C. Anthony C. Anthony - 12 36.0 17.2 6.9 3.4 1.3 0.2 3.8 16.7 8.7 -10 -0.8 -1.3 35.0 30.4 65.2 -0.05 45.2 41.0
G. Brooks G. Brooks C 13 34.1 14.4 7.5 1.8 0.7 0.6 1.7 10.5 12.8 - - - 52.6 0 64.2 - 56.2 52.6
A. Bacot A. Bacot - 14 23.6 9.0 7.8 0.8 0.4 1.1 1.6 8.0 9.5 - - - 45.5 0 51.1 - 47.5 45.5
B. Robinson B. Robinson G 8 27.2 7.9 3.0 2.1 0.5 0.6 1.6 6.8 5.8 -68 -4.2 -5.6 38.9 29.7 83.3 -0.69 53.1 49.1
C. Keeling C. Keeling G 14 20.9 6.6 3.3 0.6 0.6 0.3 1.4 6.4 3.5 - - - 41.6 30.4 73.3 - 48.1 45.5
L. Black L. Black - 13 28.5 6.5 4.6 2.9 0.9 0.5 1.6 6.7 7.2 - - - 36.8 18.2 72.7 - 43.4 39.1
J. Pierce J. Pierce G 13 18.0 5.3 5.1 0.7 0.3 0.2 0.6 4.9 6.1 8 0.5 0.6 39.1 28.6 55.0 0.05 47.4 45.3
A. Platek A. Platek - 14 18.6 5.3 2.0 1.2 0.3 0.1 0.6 4.4 3.9 - - - 42.6 37.9 64.7 - 54.0 51.6
A. Harris A. Harris G 3 10.0 4.7 1.0 0.3 1.0 0.0 0.0 3.3 3.7 - - - 50.0 33.3 75.0 - 59.5 55.0
J. Francis J. Francis G 8 8.1 1.8 0.4 1.0 0.2 0.0 0.5 2.5 0.4 23 3.3 15.0 25.0 28.6 33.3 0.33 30.9 30.0
B. Huffman B. Huffman C 9 3.9 1.6 1.2 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 1.0 1.9 - - - 66.7 0 40.0 - 62.5 66.7
K.J. Smith K.J. Smith G 10 5.0 1.3 0.5 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.4 1.3 1.0 -14 -1.8 -7.4 23.1 12.5 100.0 -0.2 41.6 26.9
S. Rush S. Rush F 8 1.4 1.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.6 - - - 40.0 50.0 100.0 - 68.0 60.0
W. Miller W. Miller F 12 2.7 0.8 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.7 -27 -2.5 -7.2 60.0 0 75.0 -0.65 66.6 60.0
C. Ellis C. Ellis F 7 1.0 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.1 - - - 50.0 0.0 0 - 50.0 50.0
R. McAdoo R. McAdoo G 8 1.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 - - - 0.0 0 50.0 - 17.4 0.0
R. O'Han R. O'Han G 7 0.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 -0.1 - - - 0.0 0 0 - 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG