Model Predictions
| Model | North Carolina Tar Heels | Virginia Tech Hokies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 52.2% | 47.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 42.1% | 57.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 42.2% | 57.8% | +1.7 | ✗ (23.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.8% | 58.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 48.2% | 51.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 47.9% | 52.1% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 45.4% | 54.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Virginia Tech Hokies -22 (56-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Garrison Brooks | 34 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 8-10 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 15 | - |
| Brandon Robinson | 30 | 5-8 | 5-6 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 17 | 20 | - |
| Andrew Platek | 8 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | - |
| Walker Miller | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| K.J. Smith | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Robbie O'Han | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Shea Rush | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Ryan McAdoo | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Caleb Ellis | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Cole Anthony * | 34 | 3-10 | 1-3 | 3-5 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Armando Bacot * | 29 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 13 | - |
| Leaky Black * | 26 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 11 | - |
| Christian Keeling | 18 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Justin Pierce | 16 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Jeremiah Francis | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Virginia Tech Hokies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Johnson | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| W. Bede * | 34 | 2-6 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 11 | - |
| L. Nolley II * | 28 | 4-11 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 3 | - |
| P.J. Horne * | 25 | 2-8 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Tyrece Radford * | 20 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| N. Alleyne * | 15 | 0-6 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -3 | - |
| H. Cattoor | 26 | 5-11 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 7 | - |
| J. Cone | 25 | 3-11 | 2-8 | 3-3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 3 | - |
| Ginika Ojiako | 15 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 11 | - |
| I. Wilkins | 12 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
* = starter