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2019-11-28

Model Predictions

Model North Carolina Tar Heels Michigan Wolverines Spread Result
Elo 22.2% 77.8% -
Bradley-Terry 39.9% 60.1% -
Margin 35.0% 65.0% +3.4 (5.6 off)
Pythagorean 30.4% 69.6% -
Efficiency 11.5% 88.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 9.8% 90.2% -
Log Adjusted 9.8% 90.2% -

Actual: Michigan Wolverines +9 (73-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.

North Carolina Tar Heels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
W. Miller 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
S. Rush 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
K.J. Smith 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
C. Anthony * 33 8-17 2-7 4-6 7 3 2 0 3 22 14 -
G. Brooks * 33 6-13 0-0 1-4 8 0 0 0 3 13 5 -
B. Robinson * 32 4-8 0-3 1-2 3 4 1 0 0 9 9 -
A. Bacot * 22 3-10 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 1 3 6 0 -
L. Black * 21 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 2 0 -
J. Pierce 17 0-3 0-2 1-2 1 1 0 1 0 1 1 -
C. Keeling 16 1-3 0-0 1-2 2 0 1 0 1 3 2 -
A. Platek 16 1-3 0-1 2-2 0 0 0 0 0 4 1 -
B. Huffman 6 2-2 0-0 0-2 1 0 0 0 0 4 3 -

Michigan Wolverines

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
E. Brooks * 39 9-14 4-6 2-4 5 0 1 0 4 24 12 -
I. Livers * 35 5-13 2-7 0-1 4 3 1 0 1 12 6 -
F. Wagner * 33 1-6 1-5 0-0 5 3 2 0 4 3 3 -
J. Teske * 33 4-8 2-4 0-1 8 1 1 4 3 10 13 -
Z. Simpson * 17 3-4 1-1 0-0 2 6 1 1 1 7 12 -
D. DeJulius 23 5-9 1-3 0-0 1 2 0 0 1 11 4 -
B. Johns Jr. 13 0-1 0-0 2-2 3 0 1 2 1 2 6 -
C. Castleton 7 1-1 0-0 2-2 3 0 0 0 0 4 6 -

* = starter