Model Predictions
| Model | North Carolina Tar Heels | Virginia Cavaliers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 26.4% | 73.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 39.7% | 60.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 54.9% | 45.1% | -1.1 | ✗ (10.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 26.6% | 73.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 3.0% | 97.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 17.9% | 82.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 17.8% | 82.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Virginia Cavaliers +9 (56-47). Predictions use season-end ratings.
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Anthony * | 35 | 4-15 | 1-6 | 3-6 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 12 | -2 | - |
| G. Brooks * | 33 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 11 | - |
| B. Robinson * | 26 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
| A. Bacot * | 25 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 1-6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 8 | - |
| L. Black * | 22 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 8 | - |
| J. Pierce | 17 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| C. Keeling | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| A. Platek | 11 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| A. Harris | 6 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| J. Francis | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - |
| B. Huffman | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| K.J. Smith | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| C. Ellis | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| W. Miller | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| R. McAdoo | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
Virginia Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Diakite | 28 | 3-7 | 1-1 | 5-5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 12 | 5 | - |
| K. Stattmann | 27 | 3-9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 1 | - |
| C. Morsell | 24 | 2-9 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -1 | - |
| J. Huff | 14 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| K. Clark * | 38 | 1-8 | 0-2 | 5-7 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 8 | - |
| T. Woldetensae | 30 | 3-7 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 9 | - |
| F. Caffaro | 21 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 13 | - |
| J. McKoy | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10 | - |
| C. Coleman | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter