Model Predictions
| Model | North Carolina Tar Heels | Duke Blue Devils | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 16.0% | 84.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 28.3% | 71.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 17.5% | 82.5% | +8.5 | ✓ (4.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 20.0% | 80.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 4.4% | 95.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 4.3% | 95.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Duke Blue Devils +13 (89-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W. Miller | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| C. Anthony * | 39 | 4-14 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 0 | - |
| G. Brooks * | 37 | 9-22 | 0-0 | 8-10 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 26 | 18 | - |
| L. Black * | 30 | 3-10 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 2 | - |
| B. Robinson * | 29 | 4-8 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 3 | - |
| A. Bacot * | 24 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 16 | - |
| C. Keeling | 19 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | - |
| J. Pierce | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| A. Platek | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Francis | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Jones * | 39 | 4-13 | 3-7 | 10-10 | 3 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 21 | 23 | - |
| C. Stanley * | 36 | 6-10 | 3-5 | 4-4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 13 | - |
| J. Robinson * | 25 | 4-7 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 13 | 19 | - |
| J. DeLaurier * | 11 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| J. White * | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| V. Carey Jr. | 27 | 8-14 | 0-1 | 9-11 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 25 | 20 | - |
| J. Goldwire | 24 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| W. Moore Jr. | 23 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | - |
| M. Hurt | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter