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2020-03-07

Model Predictions

Model North Carolina Tar Heels Duke Blue Devils Spread Result
Elo 16.0% 84.0% -
Bradley-Terry 28.3% 71.7% -
Margin 17.5% 82.5% +8.5 (4.5 off)
Pythagorean 20.0% 80.0% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 4.4% 95.6% -
Log Adjusted 4.3% 95.7% -

Actual: Duke Blue Devils +13 (89-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.

North Carolina Tar Heels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
W. Miller 3 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 2 0 -
C. Anthony * 39 4-14 0-2 1-2 2 3 2 0 2 9 0 -
G. Brooks * 37 9-22 0-0 8-10 13 0 1 0 0 26 18 -
L. Black * 30 3-10 1-5 0-0 3 3 0 1 2 7 2 -
B. Robinson * 29 4-8 3-5 0-0 0 0 1 0 1 11 3 -
A. Bacot * 24 5-7 0-0 3-6 12 0 0 0 2 13 16 -
C. Keeling 19 1-6 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 -2 -
J. Pierce 13 1-2 0-0 2-2 3 1 0 0 1 4 5 -
A. Platek 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Francis 1 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 -

Duke Blue Devils

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Jones * 39 4-13 3-7 10-10 3 11 1 2 2 21 23 -
C. Stanley * 36 6-10 3-5 4-4 6 1 0 0 3 19 13 -
J. Robinson * 25 4-7 4-6 1-2 6 3 1 4 1 13 19 -
J. DeLaurier * 11 2-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 3 1 0 4 8 -
J. White * 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
V. Carey Jr. 27 8-14 0-1 9-11 10 0 1 1 3 25 20 -
J. Goldwire 24 0-2 0-1 3-4 2 2 0 0 1 3 4 -
W. Moore Jr. 23 1-4 0-0 2-2 5 2 0 0 2 4 5 -
M. Hurt 9 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter