Model Predictions
| Model | North Carolina Tar Heels | Louisville Cardinals | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 50.0% | 50.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 51.8% | 48.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 67.3% | 32.7% | -4.0 | ✗ (21.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 22.4% | 77.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.6% | 98.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 12.1% | 87.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 12.1% | 87.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Louisville Cardinals +17 (72-55). Predictions use season-end ratings.
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W. Miller | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| S. Rush | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| K.J. Smith | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| L. Black * | 34 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3 | - |
| C. Anthony * | 33 | 7-16 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 8 | - |
| A. Bacot * | 33 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 11 | - |
| B. Robinson * | 30 | 2-8 | 0-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -2 | - |
| C. Keeling * | 25 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 5 | - |
| A. Platek | 17 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 6 | - |
| J. Francis | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| B. Huffman | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| R. O'Han | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| R. McAdoo | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| C. Ellis | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
Louisville Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Williams * | 31 | 8-11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 17 | - |
| D. Sutton * | 31 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 11 | - |
| J. Nwora * | 31 | 7-15 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 11 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 14 | - |
| D. Johnson * | 28 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 0-2 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 7 | - |
| L. Kimble * | 21 | 2-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| R. McMahon | 21 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 3-3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| D. Perry | 14 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | - |
| S. Williamson | 14 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
| S. Enoch | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| H. Orbaugh | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| G. Williams | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| K. Oddo | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Q. Slazinski | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter