Model Predictions
| Model | North Carolina Tar Heels | Florida State Seminoles | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 73.9% | 26.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 50.5% | 49.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 62.5% | 37.5% | -2.8 | ✗ (8.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 22.1% | 77.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 8.7% | 91.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 8.7% | 91.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Florida State Seminoles +6 (65-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Anthony * | 38 | 5-22 | 3-10 | 3-8 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 2 | - |
| L. Black * | 34 | 4-10 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 10 | - |
| G. Brooks * | 34 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| A. Platek * | 32 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| A. Bacot * | 26 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 7 | - |
| C. Keeling | 18 | 5-10 | 1-2 | 3-3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 8 | - |
| J. Pierce | 15 | 1-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| J. Francis | 3 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
Florida State Seminoles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Vassell * | 36 | 3-8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 8 | - |
| T. Forrest * | 35 | 5-12 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 8 | - |
| R. Gray * | 24 | 5-9 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 13 | - |
| M. Osborne * | 15 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 9 | - |
| A. Polite * | 12 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
| M.J. Walker | 25 | 1-7 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -4 | - |
| P. Williams | 24 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 6-6 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 21 | - |
| R. Evans | 12 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | - |
| D. Olejniczak | 10 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| B. Koprivica | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter