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2020-03-11

Model Predictions

Model North Carolina Tar Heels Syracuse Orange Spread Result
Elo 55.7% 44.3% -
Bradley-Terry 53.6% 46.4% -
Margin 63.4% 36.6% -3.0 (31.0 off)
Pythagorean 31.3% 68.7% -
Efficiency 7.8% 92.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 36.5% 63.5% -
Log Adjusted 36.4% 63.6% -

Actual: Syracuse Orange +28 (81-53). Predictions use season-end ratings.

North Carolina Tar Heels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
W. Miller 2 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -
S. Rush 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
K.J. Smith 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
G. Brooks * 37 7-14 0-0 4-6 5 0 0 1 2 18 8 -
C. Anthony * 37 2-10 1-6 0-0 4 3 0 0 6 5 -4 -
A. Bacot * 25 3-7 0-0 2-2 6 3 0 0 0 8 10 -
L. Black * 24 5-10 1-2 3-3 4 1 0 0 3 14 6 -
B. Robinson * 22 1-4 0-3 2-2 1 0 0 0 4 4 -3 -
C. Keeling 16 0-3 0-1 0-0 6 0 0 0 1 0 2 -
J. Francis 10 0-3 0-2 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 -2 -
J. Pierce 10 1-2 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 1 2 3 -
A. Platek 9 0-3 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
R. McAdoo 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
C. Ellis 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
R. O'Han 1 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

Syracuse Orange

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
E. Hughes * 38 9-20 4-10 5-5 8 2 2 0 1 27 18 -
B. Boeheim * 36 4-8 2-4 7-12 1 3 3 0 1 17 15 -
B. Sidibe * 35 4-5 0-0 4-6 13 1 3 2 2 12 24 -
J. Girard III * 35 1-7 1-5 0-0 2 8 1 0 0 3 7 -
M. Dolezaj * 24 6-11 0-0 1-2 3 0 1 0 1 13 5 -
Q. Guerrier 19 3-6 0-1 1-3 9 1 0 1 1 7 11 -
H. Washington 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
B. Goodine 4 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 2 1 -
B. Paul 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
S. Belbey 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -

* = starter