🐻⬇️🏀

North Carolina Tar Heels

Also known as: North Carolina Tar Heels
Program History

2015 Team Stats (31 games)

75.4
PPG
65.9
Opp
+9.5
Margin
41.3%
FG%
30.9%
3P%
65.7%
FT%
41.5
RPG
15.1
APG
15.1
TO
91.1
Pace

Model Outputs

2014-2015
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1371 (#20) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1313 (#36) -
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.1 More → +38.3 (#34) HCA +3.1
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.961 (#22) -

2015 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2014-11-14 vs Howard Bison W 83 - 49
2014-11-16 vs UCLA Bruins W 84 - 68
2014-11-19 vs Oklahoma State Cowgirls W 79 - 77
2014-11-23 @ Oregon Ducks W 76 - 59
2014-12-04 @ Rutgers Scarlet Knights W 96 - 93
2014-12-14 vs App State Mountaineers W 84 - 52
2014-12-16 vs Oregon State Beavers L 55 - 70
2014-12-19 vs Maine Black Bears W 65 - 36
2014-12-21 vs Elon Phoenix W 85 - 67
2014-12-30 vs UAlbany Great Danes W 71 - 56
2015-01-02 vs East Tennessee State Bucs W 95 - 62
2015-01-04 vs NC State Wolfpack W 72 - 56
2015-01-08 @ Pittsburgh Panthers L 59 - 84
2015-01-11 vs Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets W 96 - 81
2015-01-15 vs Notre Dame Fighting Irish L 79 - 89
2015-01-18 @ Clemson Tigers W 78 - 56
2015-01-22 @ NC State Wolfpack W 67 - 63
2015-01-25 vs Duke Blue Devils L 67 - 74
2015-02-01 vs Boston College Eagles W 72 - 60
2015-02-05 @ Syracuse Orange L 56 - 61
2015-02-08 @ Virginia Tech Hokies W 74 - 52
2015-02-12 vs Florida State Seminoles W 71 - 63
2015-02-15 @ Louisville Cardinals L 66 - 75
2015-02-19 vs Wake Forest Demon Deacons W 83 - 45
2015-02-22 @ Miami Hurricanes W 66 - 65
2015-02-26 vs Virginia Cavaliers W 72 - 70
2015-03-01 @ Duke Blue Devils L 80 - 81
2015-03-05 vs Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets W 84 - 64
2015-03-21 vs Liberty Flames W 71 - 65
2015-03-23 vs Ohio State Buckeyes W 86 - 84
2015-03-27 @ South Carolina Gamecocks L 65 - 67

2015 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Allisha Gray Allisha Gray - 31 29.9 16.4 7.6 2.3 1.3 0.7 1.9 12.6 13.8 18 0.9 14.2 44.6 30.7 70.8 1.95 55.4 51.0
S. Mavunga S. Mavunga F 31 28.0 15.2 9.7 1.5 1.4 2.5 2.5 12.3 15.5 - - - 49.3 16.7 64.4 1.79 53.0 49.6
X. McDaniel X. McDaniel F 9 29.1 12.0 6.9 1.2 2.2 0.7 2.2 10.9 9.9 - - - 38.8 11.1 65.2 0.78 45.7 39.8
B. Rountree B. Rountree G 31 27.6 7.7 2.2 2.7 1.3 0.0 1.2 5.6 7.2 - - - 42.2 38.6 78.6 2.29 60.5 56.4
J. Washington J. Washington G 31 18.1 7.3 2.3 1.1 0.7 0.1 1.4 6.9 3.2 - - - 38.3 35.3 60.0 0.92 49.5 48.1
L. Coleman L. Coleman G 31 26.4 6.2 2.4 3.2 1.7 0.2 1.8 7.5 4.4 - - - 32.1 25.9 51.2 1.24 38.3 36.8
J. Cherry J. Cherry G 31 15.4 5.9 1.1 2.1 0.6 0.0 2.2 5.6 1.9 - - - 29.7 28.0 78.3 0.53 44.8 37.1
A. Souleymane A. Souleymane C 31 16.7 5.2 4.1 1.1 1.2 0.3 1.6 5.3 4.9 - - - 44.2 33.3 39.5 - 44.5 44.5
N. Bryant N. Bryant G 31 17.3 5.2 3.3 0.3 0.9 0.6 0.9 4.7 4.7 - - - 45.9 0.0 65.1 0.95 49.1 45.9
M. Buckland M. Buckland G 11 8.5 1.5 0.5 0.7 0.3 0.0 0.3 1.6 1.2 - - - 22.2 18.2 58.3 -0.17 36.5 27.8
H. Fuller H. Fuller F 26 5.0 1.2 1.2 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.6 1.0 1.2 - - - 44.0 0 55.6 0.35 48.6 44.0
H. Summers H. Summers F 31 7.4 1.2 1.8 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.2 1.5 2.1 - - - 32.6 0 60.0 -0.01 35.7 32.6

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG