Model Predictions
| Model | North Carolina Tar Heels | Duke Blue Devils | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ELO | 32.6% | 67.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 31.5% | 68.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 22.5% | 77.5% | +6.8 | ✓ (5.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.8% | 50.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Duke Blue Devils +1 (81-80). Predictions use season-end ratings.
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Coleman | 36 | 6-11 | 2-3 | - | 2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 11 | |
| Player #3058901 | 33 | 7-15 | 5-9 | 1-2 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 20 | 14 | |
| S. Mavunga | 33 | 3-12 | - | 5-7 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 8 | |
| B. Rountree | 32 | 3-7 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 6 | |
| N. Bryant | 20 | -2 | - | - | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -1 | ||
| J. Washington | 20 | 6-10 | 5-8 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 10 | ||
| A. Souleymane | 15 | 2-5 | - | - | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 0 | ||
| H. Summers | 7 | -1 | - | - | 3 | 1 | 1 | 4 | |||
| J. Cherry | 4 | 1-1 | - | - | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player #18759 | 40 | 6-10 | 3-5 | 4-7 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 19 | 16 |
| Player #15218 | 34 | 4-5 | 1-2 | 1-3 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 14 |
| Player #3142010 | 34 | 8-14 | - | 5-6 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 21 | 23 |
| E. Williams | 31 | 6-12 | - | 6-8 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 15 |
| Player #15636 | 29 | 1-8 | -5 | - | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | -6 | ||
| K. Cooper | 14 | 3-6 | - | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 1 | |||
| E. Mathias | 13 | 1-1 | - | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | |||
| M. Riggs | 3 | - | - | - | 1 | 1 | |||||
| J. Frush | 2 | - | - | - | 1 | 1 |
* = starter