Model Predictions
| Model | NC State Wolfpack | North Carolina Tar Heels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 41.0% | 59.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 60.0% | 40.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 52.4% | 47.6% | -0.5 | ✗ (16.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.4% | 55.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels +16 (72-56). Predictions use season-end ratings.
NC State Wolfpack
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Brown-Hoskin | 37 | 4-15 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 2 | - |
| M. Spencer | 31 | 5-14 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 2 | - |
| D. Wilson | 27 | 6-19 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 3 | - |
| A. Williams | 25 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| J. Mathurin | 20 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| C. Schuhmacher | 19 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 7 | - |
| A. Eli | 19 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - |
| C. Nelson | 14 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 6 | - |
| A. Maize | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Souleymane | 33 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 8 | - |
| B. Rountree | 32 | 4-6 | 4-6 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 10 | - |
| S. Mavunga | 30 | 10-14 | 0-1 | 3-6 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 23 | 27 | - |
| A. Gray | 28 | 6-11 | 0-3 | 1-3 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 10 | - |
| L. Coleman | 27 | 1-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2 | - |
| J. Washington | 16 | 2-7 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 5 | - |
| J. Cherry | 13 | 1-8 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | -4 | - |
| N. Bryant | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| H. Summers | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| H. Fuller | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter