Model Predictions
| Model | North Carolina Tar Heels | NC State Wolfpack | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 41.9% | 58.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 27.2% | 72.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 22.6% | 77.4% | +6.8 | ✗ (10.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.6% | 50.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: NC State Wolfpack -4 (63-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Coleman | 33 | 3-13 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 5 | - |
| B. Rountree | 32 | 0-5 | 0-4 | 9-10 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 8 | - |
| A. Gray | 29 | 3-14 | 2-9 | 2-2 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 9 | - |
| S. Mavunga | 27 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 3-5 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 11 | - |
| A. Souleymane | 27 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 2 | - |
| J. Washington | 19 | 2-9 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | - |
| N. Bryant | 13 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| H. Summers | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7 | - |
| J. Cherry | 7 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | - |
| H. Fuller | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
NC State Wolfpack
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Brown-Hoskin | 40 | 8-18 | 1-6 | 4-5 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 12 | - |
| D. Wilson | 38 | 5-14 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 12 | - |
| J. Mathurin | 34 | 5-10 | 3-7 | 1-1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 7 | - |
| M. Spencer | 30 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 4 | - |
| C. Schuhmacher | 19 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 8 | - |
| A. Eli | 14 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| C. Nelson | 13 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | - |
| A. Williams | 12 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | - |
* = starter