Model Predictions
| Model | Elon Phoenix | North Carolina Tar Heels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 5.5% | 94.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 13.4% | 86.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 2.5% | 97.5% | +20.2 | ✓ (2.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 34.5% | 65.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels +18 (85-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Elon Phoenix
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Brown | 34 | 5-10 | 2-6 | 3-3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 8 | - |
| E. Baucom | 32 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 7 | - |
| S. Coffer | 31 | 6-10 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 7 | - |
| Z. Stephenson | 24 | 0-6 | 0-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
| M. Johnson | 20 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 4 | - |
| J. Rhodes | 19 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 6 | - |
| S. Burnett | 19 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 8 | 3 | - |
| L. Hudson | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| S. Cochraham | 5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
| J. Mbouma | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| M. Darrah | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -2 | - |
| A. Carter | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Gray | 33 | 5-9 | 2-5 | 8-12 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 20 | 17 | - |
| L. Coleman | 28 | 5-9 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 12 | - |
| B. Rountree | 27 | 3-6 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 9 | - |
| S. Mavunga | 26 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 11 | - |
| X. McDaniel | 20 | 5-8 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 15 | - |
| J. Cherry | 14 | 1-5 | 0-4 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | -1 | - |
| N. Bryant | 13 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| A. Souleymane | 12 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | - |
| J. Washington | 12 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| M. Buckland | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| H. Summers | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| H. Fuller | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter