Model Predictions
| Model | North Carolina Tar Heels | Louisville Cardinals | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ELO | 17.1% | 82.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 12.8% | 87.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 9.7% | 90.3% | +12.3 | ✓ (3.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.4% | 52.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Louisville Cardinals +9 (75-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Rountree | 33 | 2-7 | 2-6 | - | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 2 | |
| N. Bryant | 32 | 2-4 | - | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 7 |
| S. Mavunga | 30 | 7-11 | -1 | - | 10 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 17 |
| J. Cherry | 27 | 3-15 | 1-8 | 7-8 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 4 | |
| Player #3058901 | 25 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 4-5 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 14 | |
| L. Coleman | 22 | 1-8 | -2 | - | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | -4 | ||
| J. Washington | 13 | 2-4 | 1-1 | - | 1 | 1 | 5 | 1 | |||
| H. Summers | 10 | 1-1 | - | - | 7 | 2 | 8 | ||||
| A. Souleymane | 8 | 2-6 | - | - | 1 | 1 | 4 | -2 |
Louisville Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Moore | 40 | 7-17 | 3-8 | 11-12 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 28 | 15 | ||
| J. Schimmel | 39 | 1-7 | -4 | 2-2 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 4 | ||
| S. Hammond | 29 | 4-11 | -2 | - | 7 | 2 | 8 | 6 | |||
| S. Dyer | 22 | 1-6 | - | 3-4 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 9 | |
| Player #3142055 | 20 | 6-13 | - | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 7 | |
| E. Henderson | 18 | 3-6 | - | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 7 | ||
| B. Smith | 15 | 1-2 | - | 6-6 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 14 | |
| S. Vails | 10 | - | - | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | |||
| A. Carter | 4 | - | - | - | 2 | -2 | |||||
| A. Freeman | 3 | - | - | - | 1 | -1 |
* = starter