Model Predictions
| Model | North Carolina Tar Heels | Rutgers Scarlet Knights | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 74.9% | 25.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 47.4% | 52.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 53.2% | 46.8% | -0.7 | ✓ (2.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 73.0% | 27.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Rutgers Scarlet Knights -3 (93-96). Predictions use season-end ratings.
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Gray | 44 | 10-15 | 3-7 | 6-10 | 11 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 29 | 30 | - |
| X. McDaniel | 42 | 6-10 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 14 | 9 | - |
| L. Coleman | 36 | 3-7 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 10 | - |
| B. Rountree | 35 | 3-8 | 3-7 | 3-4 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 16 | - |
| S. Mavunga | 26 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 15 | 16 | - |
| A. Souleymane | 23 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | -1 | - |
| J. Cherry | 16 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | -1 | - |
| J. Washington | 13 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| M. Buckland | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| H. Summers | 5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| N. Bryant | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - |
Rutgers Scarlet Knights
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Stewart | 50 | 10-19 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 24 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 24 | 31 | - |
| T. Scaife | 41 | 10-27 | 1-1 | 4-5 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 7 | 25 | 3 | - |
| K. Copper | 40 | 7-15 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 17 | 2 | - |
| S. Davis | 40 | 6-9 | 3-4 | 0-3 | 7 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 25 | - |
| B. Canty | 28 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 3 | - |
| C. Evans | 22 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| A. Butts | 19 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8 | - |
| R. Hollivay | 10 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| C. Hernandez | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter