Model Predictions
| Model | Duke Blue Devils | North Carolina Tar Heels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 50.9% | 49.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 55.0% | 45.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 52.6% | 47.4% | -0.6 | ✓ (6.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.2% | 55.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels -7 (67-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Greenwell | 44 | 5-17 | 2-7 | 2-4 | 14 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 14 | 9 | - |
| E. Williams | 43 | 14-25 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 33 | 20 | - |
| K. Johnson | 38 | 3-9 | 1-3 | 5-7 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 17 | - |
| A. Stevens | 25 | 4-13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 3 | - |
| O. Chidom | 25 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| A. Henson | 24 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 8 | - |
| M. Riggs | 12 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| K. Cooper | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| E. Mathias | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Mavunga | 41 | 5-14 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 15 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 15 | 24 | - |
| A. Gray | 40 | 6-17 | 3-11 | 5-6 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 9 | - |
| L. Coleman | 36 | 4-14 | 2-6 | 4-6 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 8 | - |
| B. Rountree | 35 | 0-6 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| N. Bryant | 27 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| A. Souleymane | 19 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-4 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 7 | - |
| J. Washington | 15 | 0-5 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| J. Cherry | 9 | 1-5 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -3 | - |
| H. Summers | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| H. Fuller | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
* = starter