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Niagara Purple

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017
Also known as: Niagara Purple Eagles
Program History
Coach: Greg Paulus

2026 Team Stats (29 games)

64.6
PPG
71.2
Opp
-6.6
Margin
44.5%
FG%
33.8%
3P%
72.1%
FT%
29.2
RPG
14.2
APG
11.7
TO
71.0
Pace
61.5
AdjO
75.7
AdjD
#339
Rank

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 833 (#309) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 763 (#339) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +109 elo More → 896 (#674) HCA +109 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.2 More → -14.4 (#340) HCA +2.2
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.5 More → +3.8 (#322) HCA +2.5
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.192 (#334) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -1.5 More → 0.453 (#187) NetEff -1.5
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -20.2 More → 0.089 (#342) AdjNet -20.2
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -20.5 More → 0.085 (#342) AdjNet -20.5
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 61.5 | AdjD 75.7 More → 0.216 (#339) AdjO 61.5 | AdjD 75.7
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 66.8 | AdjD 70.4 More → 0.420 (#577) AdjO 66.8 | AdjD 70.4
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.447 (#374) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.425 (#387) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 170 | GP 29 More → 828 (#642) RD 170 | GP 29

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-03 @ Duquesne Dukes L 63 - 83
2025-11-08 @ Binghamton Bearcats W 67 - 59
2025-11-10 vs Delaware State Hornets W 68 - 57
2025-11-17 @ Le Moyne Dolphins L 68 - 74
2025-11-21 @ Duke Blue Devils L 42 - 100
2025-11-22 @ Howard Bison L 70 - 80
2025-11-29 vs Detroit Mercy Titans L 66 - 70
2025-12-05 @ Siena Saints L 54 - 83
2025-12-13 @ Morgan State Bears L 73 - 81
2025-12-15 @ VCU Rams L 58 - 84
2025-12-20 vs Houghton Highlanders W 81 - 58
2026-01-02 vs Sacred Heart Pioneers W 64 - 61
2026-01-04 vs Fairfield Stags L 75 - 83
2026-01-09 @ Iona Gaels L 53 - 71
2026-01-11 @ Manhattan Jaspers L 70 - 79
2026-01-14 @ Canisius Golden Griffins W 59 - 54
2026-01-19 vs Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers L 58 - 68
2026-01-22 @ Fairfield Stags L 61 - 62
2026-01-24 @ Sacred Heart Pioneers L 70 - 71
2026-01-30 vs Siena Saints L 79 - 82
2026-02-01 vs Marist Red Foxes L 46 - 58
2026-02-03 vs Canisius Golden Griffins W 65 - 56
2026-02-07 @ Quinnipiac Bobcats L 55 - 56
2026-02-13 vs Manhattan Jaspers L 69 - 76
2026-02-15 vs Iona Gaels W 70 - 68
2026-02-20 @ Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers L 63 - 76
2026-02-22 @ Rider Broncs L 62 - 67
2026-02-27 vs Quinnipiac Bobcats W 78 - 76
2026-03-01 vs Merrimack Warriors L 66 - 73

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
J. Page J. Page G 21 28.8 11.9 2.1 2.4 0.7 0.2 1.5 10.4 5.5 -147 -7.3 -11.4 43.6 30.1 80.0 -1.36 53.1 50.0
V. Zanki V. Zanki F 28 21.4 8.3 2.4 0.8 0.6 0.2 0.8 6.5 5.1 -120 -6.3 -16.1 48.1 38.9 84.2 -1.28 61.3 59.7
Justin Hawkins Justin Hawkins - 29 26.3 8.2 3.3 2.3 0.6 0.3 1.4 6.7 6.5 -121 -5.8 -10.8 44.1 35.1 68.8 -0.81 52.0 47.4
T. Walters T. Walters - 25 22.4 7.2 1.6 2.7 0.7 0.1 1.5 6.1 4.7 -39 -1.9 -3.8 31.6 35.4 81.2 -0.31 49.4 40.8
J. Sabino J. Sabino - 27 20.9 7.0 4.4 0.9 0.8 0.5 1.3 5.4 7.0 -49 -2.5 -5.7 45.2 25.5 90.2 -0.05 56.4 49.3
W. Shortt W. Shortt F 29 19.7 6.7 4.5 0.7 0.2 0.9 0.9 5.1 7.0 -77 -3.7 -9.2 60.5 0.0 43.6 -0.55 59.4 60.5
Reggie Prudhomme Reggie Prudhomme - 29 26.6 6.2 2.5 2.6 0.9 0.0 1.4 5.8 5.0 -135 -6.1 -11.0 39.3 34.0 66.7 -1.21 50.8 49.4
Brian Griffith Brian Griffith - 24 13.0 5.3 1.1 1.4 0.5 0.0 1.2 4.5 2.6 -27 -1.6 -7.1 38.9 31.7 78.9 -0.34 50.9 44.9
L. Williams L. Williams - 26 20.5 5.0 2.3 1.0 0.6 0.5 1.0 4.5 3.9 90 5.3 9.7 41.9 38.0 71.4 0.07 54.1 53.4
Drew Larson Drew Larson - 21 10.5 3.3 2.3 0.6 0.3 0.0 0.4 2.5 3.7 -50 -4.2 -20.5 46.2 32.1 57.1 -0.57 56.3 54.8
Kabeya Tshibangu Kabeya Tshibangu - 23 10.8 2.6 1.8 0.5 0.2 0.4 0.3 1.7 3.5 -69 -3.8 -15.1 70.0 0 27.3 -0.42 65.8 70.0
AJ McBride AJ McBride G 5 5.0 1.8 0.8 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.2 0.6 2.6 1 0.2 3.4 66.7 0.0 62.5 0.01 69.0 66.7
G. Dalmau G. Dalmau - 8 6.8 1.8 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.4 2.1 0.2 - - - 29.4 26.7 0 - 41.2 41.2

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG