Model Predictions
| Model | Marist Red Foxes | Niagara Purple Eagles | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 74.3% | 25.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 74.3% | 25.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 86.3% | 13.7% | -10.1 | ✓ (1.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 75.5% | 24.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 90.9% | 9.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 91.2% | 8.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 69.8% | 30.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Niagara Purple Eagles -12 (46-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Marist Red Foxes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Collins-Roberts | 30 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 5 | +4.6 |
| E. Lewis | 30 | 4-10 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 5 | - |
| R. Blackwell | 30 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 6-6 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 8 | -2.3 |
| J. Menard | 29 | 3-9 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 4 | +19.2 |
| J. Daughtry | 24 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 10 | +16.0 |
| J. Schofield | 21 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 10 | -6.7 |
| P. Kabamba | 16 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | +13.7 |
| M. Parker | 10 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -7.6 |
| T. Salton | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -0.4 |
| J. Gabriel | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| M. Kawa | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Niagara Purple Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Williams | 35 | 1-8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -3 | -1.9 |
| J. Hawkins | 29 | 5-10 | 2-3 | 2-5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 5 | -3.3 |
| T. Walters | 29 | 3-11 | 1-3 | 3-3 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 3 | -5.2 |
| V. Zanki | 26 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 8 | -8.6 |
| W. Shortt | 23 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | +0.3 |
| R. Prudhomme | 23 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 3 | -12.7 |
| J. Sabino | 15 | 0-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | -4.8 |
| D. Larson | 13 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | -0.1 |
| G. Dalmau | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| B. Griffith | 3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter