Model Predictions
| Model | Niagara Purple Eagles | Manhattan Jaspers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 35.3% | 64.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 35.8% | 64.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 36.1% | 63.9% | +3.1 | ✓ (5.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.3% | 59.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 77.2% | 22.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 37.7% | 62.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 37.4% | 62.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 41.0% | 59.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Manhattan Jaspers +9 (79-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Niagara Purple Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Page | 33 | 5-14 | 1-7 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 2 | -14.1 |
| R. Prudhomme | 28 | 4-6 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 9 | -1.3 |
| J. Hawkins | 27 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | -3.0 |
| T. Walters | 27 | 6-8 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 15 | -4.4 |
| J. Sabino | 23 | 2-5 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 12 | -5.1 |
| W. Shortt | 19 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | -0.2 |
| L. Williams | 19 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | +3.0 |
| V. Zanki | 12 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 4 | -8.7 |
| K. Tshibangu | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -3.3 |
Manhattan Jaspers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Winston | 38 | 5-10 | 0-1 | 6-7 | 3 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 20 | +1.7 |
| D. Dinkins | 34 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 6-6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 14 | +5.8 |
| F. Roxburgh | 29 | 5-8 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 11 | +7.0 |
| A. Isaac | 27 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 17 | +9.3 |
| T. Jones | 23 | 2-8 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | +7.7 |
| E. Oliver-Bush | 21 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | -1.6 |
| M. Ljubicic | 20 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 11 | -2.4 |
| Q. Elliott | 8 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4 | +4.5 |
* = starter